RedBox Research

Polling on leadership

In every race we polled, voters want new Democratic leadership in Congress.

races: 31
states: 11
statewide: 7
House districts: 24

RedBox Research polls of likely voters, Oct 20–23, 2026, before the November 3 election. Results are AP race calls as of November 9, 2026.

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The 11 states we polled. A small number: how many races there.

The toplines

Most Democrats and independents don’t want Chuck Schumer or Hakeem Jeffries leading Congress.

Want the leaderDoesn't matter or no opinionWant someone else

Chuck Schumer

11%of likely voters want Schumer as Majority Leader.

All likely voters11%26%63%

Democrats22%19%59%

Independents8%27%65%

Highest in any poll: 14% of likely voters, 33% of Democrats.
In none of the 31 polls did half of Democrats want him.
Someone else beat him in every poll among likely voters, Democrats and independents.

Hakeem Jeffries

19%of likely voters want Jeffries as Speaker.

All likely voters19%33%48%

Democrats39%24%38%

Independents15%35%49%

Highest in any poll: 23% of likely voters, 49% of Democrats.
In none of the 31 polls did half of Democrats want him.
Someone else beat him in every poll among likely voters and independents.

Our October polls pooled, each counted by its respondents. Independents called themselves neither Democrats nor Republicans.

Race by race

18 seats flipped where we polled: 3 Senate, 2 governor and 13 House. In all 31 races, more voters wanted someone else than wanted Schumer or Jeffries.

Want the leaderDoesn't matter or no opinionWant someone else

Seats that flipped

AZ-01House Amish Shah (D) beat Jay FeelySchumer7%64%Jeffries19%47%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 7% 14% 6%
Someone else 64% 70% 64%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 19% 39% 17%
Someone else 47% 39% 49%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 851 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
AZ-06House JoAnna Mendoza (D) beat Rep. Juan CiscomaniSchumer10%65%Jeffries19%47%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 10% 22% 6%
Someone else 65% 69% 62%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 19% 42% 16%
Someone else 47% 36% 48%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 837 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
CA-48House Marni von Wilpert (D) beat Jim DesmondSchumer9%65%Jeffries19%49%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 9% 18% 8%
Someone else 65% 64% 65%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 19% 37% 17%
Someone else 49% 43% 46%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 1,151 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
Kansas statewideSenate Adam Hamilton (D) beat Sen. Roger MarshallSchumer8%66%Jeffries17%49%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 8% 17% 8%
Someone else 66% 64% 68%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 17% 37% 18%
Someone else 49% 36% 47%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 1,301 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
MI-04House Sean McCann (D) beat Rep. Bill HuizengaSchumer11%61%Jeffries15%48%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 11% 22% 7%
Someone else 61% 62% 58%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 15% 33% 12%
Someone else 48% 43% 43%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 787 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
MI-10House Christina Hines (D) beat Michael BouchardSchumer10%61%Jeffries15%50%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 10% 21% 5%
Someone else 61% 59% 61%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 15% 29% 14%
Someone else 50% 46% 45%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 889 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
MT-01House Sam Forstag (D) beat Aaron FlintSchumer8%71%Jeffries16%52%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 8% 14% 10%
Someone else 71% 68% 70%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 16% 38% 17%
Someone else 52% 37% 49%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 754 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
Nevada statewideGovernor Aaron Ford (D) beat Gov. Joe LombardoSchumer12%62%Jeffries20%46%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 26% 6%
Someone else 62% 55% 62%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 20% 42% 13%
Someone else 46% 39% 48%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 1,470 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
NY-17House Cait Conley (D) beat Rep. Mike LawlerSchumer12%63%Jeffries21%46%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 21% 8%
Someone else 63% 60% 63%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 21% 41% 16%
Someone else 46% 36% 45%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 726 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
North Carolina statewideSenate Roy Cooper (D) beat Michael WhatleySchumer12%63%Jeffries20%50%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 23% 10%
Someone else 63% 56% 66%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 20% 41% 13%
Someone else 50% 35% 54%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 3,292 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
NC-11House Jamie Ager (D) beat Jennifer BalkcomSchumer9%64%Jeffries16%46%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 9% 19% 7%
Someone else 64% 61% 69%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 16% 35% 14%
Someone else 46% 33% 50%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 873 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
Ohio statewideSenate Sherrod Brown (D) beat Sen. Jon HustedGovernor Amy Acton (D) beat Vivek RamaswamySchumer12%62%Jeffries19%46%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 29% 8%
Someone else 62% 54% 61%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 19% 44% 13%
Someone else 46% 33% 48%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 2,998 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
OH-07House Brian Poindexter (D) beat Rep. Max MillerSchumer8%66%Jeffries16%50%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 8% 19% 6%
Someone else 66% 59% 71%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 16% 36% 13%
Someone else 50% 38% 55%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 875 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
PA-01House Bob Harvie (D) beat Rep. Brian FitzpatrickSchumer10%66%Jeffries20%50%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 10% 19% 9%
Someone else 66% 66% 71%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 20% 39% 18%
Someone else 50% 42% 53%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 733 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
PA-07House Bob Brooks (D) beat Rep. Ryan MackenzieSchumer12%62%Jeffries20%49%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 20% 11%
Someone else 62% 59% 66%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 20% 39% 19%
Someone else 49% 38% 53%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 644 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
PA-08House Paige Cognetti (D) beat Rep. Rob Bresnahan Jr.Schumer10%65%Jeffries21%45%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 10% 24% 5%
Someone else 65% 61% 70%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 21% 43% 19%
Someone else 45% 38% 48%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 696 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
PA-10House Janelle Stelson (D) beat Rep. Scott PerrySchumer11%64%Jeffries17%50%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 11% 24% 6%
Someone else 64% 57% 69%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 17% 40% 11%
Someone else 50% 36% 54%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 1,022 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	7%	14%	6%
Someone else	64%	70%	64%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	19%	39%	17%
Someone else	47%	39%	49%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	10%	22%	6%
Someone else	65%	69%	62%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	19%	42%	16%
Someone else	47%	36%	48%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	9%	18%	8%
Someone else	65%	64%	65%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	19%	37%	17%
Someone else	49%	43%	46%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	8%	17%	8%
Someone else	66%	64%	68%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	17%	37%	18%
Someone else	49%	36%	47%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	11%	22%	7%
Someone else	61%	62%	58%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	15%	33%	12%
Someone else	48%	43%	43%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	10%	21%	5%
Someone else	61%	59%	61%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	15%	29%	14%
Someone else	50%	46%	45%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	8%	14%	10%
Someone else	71%	68%	70%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	16%	38%	17%
Someone else	52%	37%	49%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	12%	26%	6%
Someone else	62%	55%	62%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	20%	42%	13%
Someone else	46%	39%	48%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	12%	21%	8%
Someone else	63%	60%	63%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	21%	41%	16%
Someone else	46%	36%	45%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	12%	23%	10%
Someone else	63%	56%	66%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	20%	41%	13%
Someone else	50%	35%	54%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	9%	19%	7%
Someone else	64%	61%	69%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	16%	35%	14%
Someone else	46%	33%	50%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	12%	29%	8%
Someone else	62%	54%	61%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	19%	44%	13%
Someone else	46%	33%	48%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	8%	19%	6%
Someone else	66%	59%	71%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	16%	36%	13%
Someone else	50%	38%	55%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	10%	19%	9%
Someone else	66%	66%	71%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	20%	39%	18%
Someone else	50%	42%	53%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	12%	20%	11%
Someone else	62%	59%	66%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	20%	39%	19%
Someone else	49%	38%	53%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	10%	24%	5%
Someone else	65%	61%	70%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	21%	43%	19%
Someone else	45%	38%	48%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	11%	24%	6%
Someone else	64%	57%	69%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	17%	40%	11%
Someone else	50%	36%	54%

Show the other 14 races

Arizona statewideGovernor Katie Hobbs (D) beat Andy BiggsSchumer9%65%Jeffries18%51%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 9% 17% 7%
Someone else 65% 62% 68%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 18% 36% 17%
Someone else 51% 40% 54%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 2,686 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
CA-07House Doris Matsui (D) beat Mai Vang (D)Schumer12%62%Jeffries21%48%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 26% 5%
Someone else 62% 59% 67%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 21% 44% 8%
Someone else 48% 39% 59%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 722 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
CA-11House Scott Wiener (D) beat Connie Chan (D)Schumer14%64%Jeffries22%47%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 14% 19% 10%
Someone else 64% 63% 68%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 22% 27% 20%
Someone else 47% 45% 49%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 856 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
Florida statewideSenate Ashley Moody (R) beat Angie NixonGovernor Byron Donalds (R) beat David JollySchumer12%65%Jeffries20%48%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 27% 11%
Someone else 65% 57% 68%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 20% 44% 20%
Someone else 48% 36% 50%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · The poll · Release
FL-13House Anna Paulina Luna (R) beat Leela GraySchumer11%63%Jeffries15%48%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 11% 21% 12%
Someone else 63% 64% 57%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 15% 34% 15%
Someone else 48% 41% 43%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 875 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
FL-14House Kathy Castor (D) beat Mike BeltranSchumer13%58%Jeffries17%47%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 13% 28% 13%
Someone else 58% 54% 58%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 17% 40% 19%
Someone else 47% 37% 45%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 708 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
FL-22House Pia Dandiya (D) beat Casey AskarSchumer12%62%Jeffries20%46%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 27% 9%
Someone else 62% 54% 69%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 20% 37% 20%
Someone else 46% 37% 46%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 550 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
FL-25House Jared Moskowitz (D) beat Scott SingerSchumer10%65%Jeffries19%45%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 10% 17% 12%
Someone else 65% 63% 68%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 19% 36% 22%
Someone else 45% 37% 46%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 643 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
FL-27House Maria Elvira Salazar (R) leads Eliott Rodriguez, not yet calledSchumer13%54%Jeffries22%39%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 13% 19% 12%
Someone else 54% 63% 58%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 22% 43% 13%
Someone else 39% 37% 46%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 523 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
Michigan statewideSenate Abdul El-Sayed (D) beat Mike RogersGovernor Jocelyn Benson (D) beat John JamesSchumer10%66%Jeffries18%50%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 10% 20% 5%
Someone else 66% 62% 67%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 18% 36% 14%
Someone else 50% 40% 52%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 2,696 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
NV-03House Susie Lee (D) beat Marty O'DonnellSchumer13%62%Jeffries22%48%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 13% 25% 9%
Someone else 62% 62% 64%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 22% 40% 18%
Someone else 48% 46% 48%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 687 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
NC-01House Don Davis (D) beat Laurie BuckhoutSchumer14%59%Jeffries23%44%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 14% 33% 7%
Someone else 59% 43% 61%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 23% 49% 18%
Someone else 44% 25% 43%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 1,468 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
OH-01House Greg Landsman (D) beat Eric ConroySchumer9%65%Jeffries17%47%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 9% 18% 6%
Someone else 65% 58% 66%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 17% 36% 12%
Someone else 47% 38% 50%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 821 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV
OH-09House Marcy Kaptur (D) beat Derek MerrinSchumer12%61%Jeffries19%46%
Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Schumer 12% 27% 9%
Someone else 61% 52% 62%
Jeffries as Speaker
Answer All Dem Ind
Want Jeffries 19% 45% 17%
Someone else 46% 28% 46%
Oct 20–23, 2026 · 858 likely voters · The poll · Crosstabs (PDF) · CSV

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	9%	17%	7%
Someone else	65%	62%	68%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	18%	36%	17%
Someone else	51%	40%	54%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	12%	26%	5%
Someone else	62%	59%	67%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	21%	44%	8%
Someone else	48%	39%	59%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	14%	19%	10%
Someone else	64%	63%	68%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	22%	27%	20%
Someone else	47%	45%	49%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	12%	27%	11%
Someone else	65%	57%	68%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	20%	44%	20%
Someone else	48%	36%	50%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	11%	21%	12%
Someone else	63%	64%	57%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	15%	34%	15%
Someone else	48%	41%	43%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	13%	28%	13%
Someone else	58%	54%	58%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	17%	40%	19%
Someone else	47%	37%	45%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	12%	27%	9%
Someone else	62%	54%	69%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	20%	37%	20%
Someone else	46%	37%	46%

Schumer as Majority Leader
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Schumer	10%	17%	12%
Someone else	65%	63%	68%

Jeffries as Speaker
Answer	All	Dem	Ind
Want Jeffries	19%	36%	22%
Someone else	45%	37%	46%

All likely voters in each race. Click a race for Democrats, independents and the crosstabs. Florida statewide is its Oct 20–23 poll, which asked both questions. A dash: too few respondents to publish.

Graphics

Built from the same data as this page. Click to download.

Chuck Schumer: what likely voters told us — Download

Democrats and independents on Chuck Schumer — Download

Hakeem Jeffries: what likely voters told us — Download

Democrats wanting someone other than Jeffries, poll by poll — Download

How these polls were done

RedBox Research drew each sample from the state voter file and weighted each poll to its likely electorate. Each poll's field dates, sample size, margin of error and full method are on its page, with its full crosstabs.

Both questions were asked in every poll: “If Democrats win control of the Senate in the 2026 election, should Chuck Schumer become Majority Leader, or should Democrats choose someone else?” and the same for Hakeem Jeffries as Speaker. The answers were the leader, someone else, “It doesn't matter to me” and “Don't know / No opinion”; the gray in each bar is the last two. The pooled figures combine the polls in proportion to their respondents; they describe these races, not a national sample.

How we poll · Every poll · What we found · Our accuracy record

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