FL-27 · U.S. House
Salazar +2.7
MS
Maria Elvira Salazar(R)
49.1%
ER
Eliott Rodriguez(D)
46.4%
Narrow lead, within the margin of error.
October 20–23, 2026 · FL-27
Florida
Salazar holds a narrow lead over Rodriguez for the House
(R)
(D)
U.S. Senate
Moody +2.6
(R)
47.6%
(D)
45.0%
Narrow lead, within the margin of error.
Governor
Donalds +1.3
(R)
47.2%
(D)
45.9%
Narrow lead, within the margin of error.
How to read the races. Percent of likely voters. Lead is the leader's share minus the runner-up's: under 1 point is tied, 1 to 5 points a narrow lead, over 5 points leads. The margin on the gap between two candidates is larger than the ±5.5 on one share.
Florida's 27th Congressional District poll: Salazar has a narrow lead over Rodriguez for Congress
Maria Elvira Salazar has a narrow lead over Eliott Rodriguez for Congress in Florida's 27th Congressional District, 49.1% to 46.4%, in our poll of 523 likely voters, taken October 20 to 23. That's within the margin of error. The poll's margin of error is ±5.5 points. Undecided and other answers add up to 4.6%.
In the district, Byron Donalds has a narrow lead over David Jolly for governor, 47.2% to 45.9%, within the margin of error (n = 523; the poll's margin of error ±5.5 points). Ashley Moody has a narrow lead over Angie Nixon for Senate, 47.6% to 45.0%, within the margin of error (n = 523; the poll's margin of error ±5.5 points).
Independents favor Rodriguez, 58.2% to 34.4%. Women favor Rodriguez, 48.5% to 46.9%. Men favor Salazar, 51.5% to 44.9%.
Hakeem Jeffries is underwater: 33.0% approve of how he's handling his job as House Democratic Leader, and 56.7% disapprove. Asked whether Jeffries should become Speaker if Democrats win the House, 39.0% said Democrats should choose someone else and 22.2% said Jeffries. Among Democrats, 36.7% want someone else.
Chuck Schumer is underwater: 28.3% approve of how he's handling his job as Senate Democratic Leader, and 62.2% disapprove. Asked whether Schumer should become Majority Leader if Democrats win the Senate, 54.0% said Democrats should choose someone else and 13.0% said Schumer. Among Democrats, 63.1% want someone else.
The crosstabs and our full methodology are on this page.
U.S. Senate
Ashley Moody (R)47.6%
Angie Nixon (D)45.0%
Undecided2.7%
Prefer not to answer1.6%
Neil J. Gillespie, No Party Affiliation1.3%
Someone else1.2%
Did not vote in this race0.6%
Governor
Byron Donalds (R)47.2%
David Jolly (D)45.9%
Undecided2.6%
Someone else1.9%
Prefer not to answer0.8%
Scott Eckhard Jewett (L)0.7%
Did not vote in this race0.3%
Frank J. Russo, No Party Affiliation0.3%
Charles Burkett, No Party Affiliation0.2%
Dean Ocean Abrams, No Party Affiliation0.0%
Moliere "Moe" Dimanche, No Party Affiliation—
Jeffrey Peter "Dr. Jeff" Datto, No Party Affiliation—
U.S. House
Maria Elvira Salazar (R)49.1%
Eliott Rodriguez (D)46.4%
Someone else1.8%
Undecided1.4%
Prefer not to answer0.7%
Did not vote in this race0.7%
Voters who said they had already voted were asked who they voted for. Shares may not add to 100 because of rounding. A dash is an answer the release doesn't report on its own.
Hakeem Jeffries
“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hakeem Jeffries is handling his job as House Democratic Leader?”
All likely voters
Approve 33.0%
Disapprove 56.7%
ApproveDisapprove
Hakeem Jeffries
“If Democrats win control of the House of Representatives in the 2026 election, should Hakeem Jeffries become Speaker of the House, or should Democrats choose someone else?”
All likely voters
22.2%
39.0%
Jeffries should become SpeakerDemocrats should choose someone else
Chuck Schumer
“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chuck Schumer is handling his job as Senate Democratic Leader?”
All likely voters
Approve 28.3%
Disapprove 62.2%
ApproveDisapprove
Chuck Schumer
“If Democrats win control of the Senate in the 2026 election, should Chuck Schumer become Majority Leader, or should Democrats choose someone else?”
All likely voters
13.0%
54.0%
Schumer should become Majority LeaderDemocrats should choose someone else
Donald Trump
“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?”
All likely voters
Approve 46.5%
Disapprove 50.8%
ApproveDisapprove
“Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?”
All likely voters
Approve 36.0%
Disapprove 57.5%
ApproveDisapprove
“Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?”
All likely voters
Approve 46.4%
Disapprove 50.3%
ApproveDisapprove
All likely voters: n = 523, ±5.5 points. Party is the party respondents said they identify with, or their voter-file registration where they didn't say; a smaller group carries a larger margin. Every poll
Pick any question in this poll and see how each group answered it: gender, age, race, education, party, ideology, 2024 vote, turnout and geography.
When a group has fewer than 50 interviews, its numbers are not shown; 50 to 99 interviews are marked for caution.
- Likely voters
- 523 Florida's 27th Congressional District
- Margin of error
- ±5.5 points design effect 1.64 included
- Field dates
- Oct 20–23, 2026 first invitation to last interview, Eastern time
- Mode
- Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey
- Sponsor
- A Fight Worth Having super PAC, FEC C00933085
Disclosure. Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit. Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey. Florida's 27th Congressional District likely voters, n = 523, margin of error ±5.5 points including the design effect.