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RedBox Research

Latest polls

Likely voters, interviewed October 20–31, 2026. Open any race or poll for its details and crosstabs.

All polls by state ↓

Senate

Florida
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 2,898 voters · ±2.1
RealClearPolitics average: Moody +6 (as of ).
Moody+2
Kansas
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 1,301 voters · ±3.2
RealClearPolitics average: Hamilton +4 (as of ).
Marshall+1Toss-up
Michigan
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 2,696 voters · ±3.5
RealClearPolitics average: El-Sayed +5 (as of ).
El-Sayed+5Lean D
North CarolinaFlip: red to blue
Leads, within the margin of error · 3,292 voters · ±3.7
RealClearPolitics average: Cooper +11 (as of ).
Cooper+6Likely D
Ohio
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 2,998 voters · ±4.6
RealClearPolitics average: Brown +3 (as of ).
Brown+3Lean D

Governors

Florida
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 2,898 voters · ±2.1
RealClearPolitics average: Donalds +4 (as of ).
Donalds+1
Arizona
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 2,686 voters · ±3.7
RealClearPolitics average: Hobbs +11 (as of ).
Hobbs+5Lean D
KansasFlip: blue to red
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 1,301 voters · ±3.2
RealClearPolitics average: tied (as of ).
Masterson+2Lean R
Michigan
Leads, within the margin of error · 2,696 voters · ±3.5
RealClearPolitics average: Benson +8 (as of ).
Benson+6Likely D
NevadaFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 1,470 voters · ±3.6
RealClearPolitics average: Ford +2 (as of ).
Ford+3Lean D
OhioFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 2,998 voters · ±4.6
RealClearPolitics average: Acton +5 (as of ).
Acton+4Lean D

House

AZ-01 · ArizonaFlip: red to blue
Leads, within the margin of error · 851 voters · ±4.2
Shah+6Lean D
AZ-06 · ArizonaFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 837 voters · ±4.8
Mendoza+5Lean D
CA-07 · CaliforniaTwo Democrats
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 722 voters · ±4.7
Vang+1
CA-11 · CaliforniaTwo Democrats
Leads, within the margin of error · 856 voters · ±4.7
Wiener+8
CA-48 · CaliforniaFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 1,151 voters · ±3.6
von Wilpert+5Lean D
FL-13 · Florida
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 875 voters · ±4.0
Luna+3Lean R
FL-14 · Florida
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 708 voters · ±4.5
Castor+1Toss-up
FL-22 · Florida
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 550 voters · ±5.1
Dandiya+1Toss-up
FL-25 · Florida
Leads, within the margin of error · 643 voters · ±4.7
Moskowitz+6Lean D
FL-27 · Florida
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 523 voters · ±5.5
Salazar+3Lean R
MI-04 · Michigan
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 787 voters · ±6.6
Huizenga+3Lean R
MI-10 · Michigan
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 889 voters · ±4.9
Bouchard+5Lean R
MT-01 · Montana
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 754 voters · ±4.6
Flint+2Lean R
NV-03 · Nevada
Leads, within the margin of error · 687 voters · ±5.1
Lee+8Likely D
NY-17 · New YorkFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 726 voters · ±4.5
Conley+3Lean D
NC-01 · North Carolina
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 1,468 voters · ±3.6
Davis+2Lean D
NC-11 · North CarolinaFlip: red to blue
Leads, within the margin of error · 873 voters · ±4.7
Ager+6Lean D
OH-01 · Ohio
Leads, outside the margin of error · 821 voters · ±4.3
Landsman+9Likely D
OH-07 · OhioFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 875 voters · ±4.1
Poindexter+4Lean D
OH-09 · Ohio
Leads, within the margin of error · 858 voters · ±4.5
Kaptur+6Lean D
PA-01 · PennsylvaniaRace tied
Tied, within the margin of error · 733 voters · ±4.6
TIEDToss-up
PA-07 · PennsylvaniaFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 644 voters · ±4.8
Brooks+5Lean D
PA-08 · PennsylvaniaFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 696 voters · ±4.6
Cognetti+3Lean D
PA-10 · PennsylvaniaFlip: red to blue
Narrow lead, within the margin of error · 1,022 voters · ±3.9
Stelson+2Lean D

Percent of likely voters. Undecided voters are not assigned to a candidate. Margins of error include the design effect. We publish a poll only when its margin of error is ±7.0 points or less. How we poll

Leads are computed before rounding, so they can differ by 1 point from the shares shown.

For comparison only; not used in our numbers.

All polls

Florida

Arizona

Oct 20–23, 2026

California

Oct 20–23, 2026

Kansas

Oct 20–23, 2026

Michigan

Oct 20–23, 2026

Montana

Oct 20–23, 2026

Nevada

Oct 20–23, 2026

New York

Oct 20–23, 2026

North Carolina

Oct 20–23, 2026

Ohio

Oct 20–23, 2026

Pennsylvania

Oct 20–23, 2026

Delaware

Sep 13, 2026

Rhode Island

Sep 4–9, 2026

Methodology