October 20–23, 2026

Kansas

Marshall and Hamilton are tied for Senate

Poll of 1,301 likely voters in Kansas · Released October 25, 2026 · Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit

Download PDF Download CSV

Races

U.S. Senate

Tied

Roger Marshall
(R)

45.7^%

Adam Hamilton
(D)

45.0^%

Tied, within the margin of error.

Governor

Masterson +2.4

Ty Masterson
(R)

48.0^%

Cindy Holscher
(D)

45.6^%

Narrow lead, within the margin of error.

All candidates

U.S. Senate

Roger Marshall (R)45.7%

Adam Hamilton (D)45.0%

Undecided3.7%

David C Graham (L)3.0%

Someone else1.3%

Prefer not to answer1.0%

Did not vote in this race0.4%

Governor

Ty Masterson (R)48.0%

Cindy Holscher (D)45.6%

Undecided3.2%

Someone else2.0%

Prefer not to answer1.1%

Did not vote in this race0.2%

Early voters were asked how they voted. Shares may not add to 100 because of rounding. A dash means the release doesn't report that answer.

Leaders and Congress

Hakeem Jeffries

Job approvalNet −28 · Democrats: Net +53

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hakeem Jeffries is handling his job as House Democratic Leader?”

All likely voters

Approve 31.3%Disapprove 58.9%Not sure

Democrats only

Approve 72.1%Disapprove 18.8%Not sure

Should he become Speaker?Someone else +32 · Democrats: Jeffries +1

“If Democrats win control of the House of Representatives in the 2026 election, should Hakeem Jeffries become Speaker of the House, or should Democrats choose someone else?”

All likely voters

Jeffries 16.8%Someone else 49.0%Doesn't matter or not sure

Democrats only

Jeffries 36.9%Someone else 36.3%Doesn't matter or not sure

Chuck Schumer

Job approvalNet −39 · Democrats: Net +32

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chuck Schumer is handling his job as Senate Democratic Leader?”

All likely voters

Approve 26.7%Disapprove 66.0%Not sure

Democrats only

Approve 62.0%Disapprove 30.1%Not sure

Should he become Majority Leader?Someone else +58 · Democrats: Someone else +47

“If Democrats win control of the Senate in the 2026 election, should Chuck Schumer become Majority Leader, or should Democrats choose someone else?”

All likely voters

Schumer 8.4%Someone else 66.4%Doesn't matter or not sure

Democrats only

Schumer 17.1%Someone else 63.6%Doesn't matter or not sure

Donald Trump

Job approvalNet −4 · Democrats: Net −97

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?”

All likely voters

Approve 47.3%Disapprove 51.5%Not sure

Democrats only

Approve 0.9%Disapprove 98.4%Not sure

Democrats in Congress

Job approvalNet −29 · Democrats: Net +63

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?”

All likely voters

Approve 33.6%Disapprove 62.6%Not sure

Democrats only

Approve 80.7%Disapprove 17.4%Not sure

Republicans in Congress

Job approvalNet −11 · Democrats: Net −96

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?”

All likely voters

Approve 43.4%Disapprove 53.9%Not sure

Democrats only

Approve 1.3%Disapprove 96.8%Not sure

All likely voters: 1,301, margin of error ±3.2 points. Democrats only: the 455 who call themselves Democrats on the party question, whatever their voter-file registration. A smaller group has a larger margin of error. All our polls

Views of institutions

Health insurance companies

FavorabilityNet −56

“Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of health insurance companies?”

All likely voters

Favorable 18.9%Unfavorable 74.7%Not familiar or no opinion

Drug companies

FavorabilityNet −62

“Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of drug companies?”

All likely voters

Favorable 15.3%Unfavorable 77.0%Not familiar or no opinion

Electric utility companies

FavorabilityNet −16

“Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of electric utility companies?”

All likely voters

Favorable 34.8%Unfavorable 51.3%Not familiar or no opinion

Large companies that own rental homes and apartments

FavorabilityNet −60

“Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of large companies that own rental homes and apartments?”

All likely voters

Favorable 12.0%Unfavorable 72.3%Not familiar or no opinion

Large banks

FavorabilityNet −36

“Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of large banks?”

All likely voters

Favorable 24.0%Unfavorable 59.6%Not familiar or no opinion

All likely voters: 1,301, margin of error ±3.2 points. Favorable and unfavorable each add “strongly” and “somewhat.”

Kansas poll: Marshall and Hamilton tied for Senate

Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton are tied for Senate in Kansas, 45.7% to 45.0%, in our poll of 1,301 likely voters, taken October 20 to 23. That's within the margin of error. The poll's margin of error is ±3.2 points. Undecided and other answers: 9.3%.

Ty Masterson has a narrow lead over Cindy Holscher for governor, 48.0% to 45.6%, within the margin of error.

Independents favor Hamilton, 57.9% to 23.4%. Independents are respondents who did not call themselves a Democrat or a Republican on the party question (they said independent, another party or don't know), whatever their voter-file registration. Women favor Hamilton, 48.5% to 43.7%. Men favor Marshall, 49.3% to 41.4%.

49.0% of likely voters want someone other than Hakeem Jeffries as Speaker if Democrats win the House; 16.8% want Jeffries. Among Democrats, 36.3% want someone else. His job approval is underwater: 58.9% disapprove and 31.3% approve.

66.4% of likely voters want someone other than Chuck Schumer as Senate majority leader if Democrats win the Senate; 8.4% want Schumer. Among Democrats, 63.6% want someone else. His job approval is underwater: 66.0% disapprove and 26.7% approve.

Results by group

How each group answered every question: gender, age, race, education, party, ideology, 2024 vote, turnout and geography.

Open the crosstabs

Groups of fewer than 50 interviews are not shown; 50 to 99 are marked for caution.

Likely voters: 1,301
Margin of error: ±3.2 points
Field dates: Oct 20–23, 2026
Mode: Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey
Sponsor: A Fight Worth Having

Disclosure. Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit. Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey. Kansas statewide likely voters, n = 1,301, margin of error ±3.2 points including the design effect.

Full methodology · How we poll

Photos. Cropped, cut out from their backgrounds and tinted for this page.

Roger Marshall: U.S. Senate Photographic Studio (public domain). Source
Adam Hamilton: Working Preacher / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 4.0; cropped, background removed, converted to grayscale. Source
Ty Masterson: NicholasGian25 / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; cropped, background removed, converted to grayscale. Source
Cindy Holscher: Catboy69 / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 4.0; cropped, background removed, converted to grayscale. Source
Hakeem Jeffries: Office of Representative Hakeem Jeffries (public domain). Source
Chuck Schumer: U.S. Senate Photographic Studio/Jeff McEvoy (public domain); source: schumer.senate.gov. Source
Donald Trump: Daniel Torok (public domain). Source