What we found · Finding 3

Younger Democrats in our polls are more eager to change the party’s direction, 67% versus 48% among older Democrats.

67.5%

of Democrats under 45 in our 31 October polls want Democrats to change direction

3,050 responses from 2,256 likely voters · margin of error ±3.0 points

Under 45 versus 45 and older; missing ages excluded. A plurality must not be described as a majority. Pooled across our 31 separate state and district polls; not a national sample. Likely voters in the named October state and district polls; not a national sample or forecast. Pooled figures are respondent-proportional descriptive summaries of separate electorates. Each poll’s subgroup weights are normalized to its answered-question n; repeated people remain in record n but their weights are collapsed for Kish effective n. MOEs are approximate pointwise 95% half-widths in percentage points, without adjustment for exploratory multiple comparisons. They do not include all coverage, nonresponse, recall, calibration or selection uncertainty. Wald intervals can extend outside percentage bounds; an observed zero is not a population zero. Unknown and indifferent answers remain in denominators. Fewer than 50 distinct people is suppressed; 50–99 means interpret with caution.

67.5% of Democrats under 45 in our 31 October polls want Democrats to change direction (95% margin of error ±3.0 points). 47.9% of Democrats 45 and older in our 31 October polls want Democrats to change direction (95% margin of error ±1.9 points). 47.1% of Democrats under 45 in our 31 October polls want someone other than Hakeem Jeffries as Speaker (95% margin of error ±3.2 points). 22.3% of Democrats under 45 in our 31 October polls choose “Jeffries should become Speaker” for Democratic leadership (95% margin of error ±2.7 points). The featured estimate uses 3,050 responses from 2,256 distinct people, with an effective sample size of 928.4. Under 45 versus 45 and older; missing ages excluded. A plurality must not be described as a majority. Pooled across our 31 separate state and district polls; not a national sample. Likely voters in the named October state and district polls; not a national sample or forecast. Pooled figures are respondent-proportional descriptive summaries of separate electorates. Each poll’s subgroup weights are normalized to its answered-question n; repeated people remain in record n but their weights are collapsed for Kish effective n. MOEs are approximate pointwise 95% half-widths in percentage points, without adjustment for exploratory multiple comparisons. They do not include all coverage, nonresponse, recall, calibration or selection uncertainty. Wald intervals can extend outside percentage bounds; an observed zero is not a population zero. Unknown and indifferent answers remain in denominators. Fewer than 50 distinct people is suppressed; 50–99 means interpret with caution.

The questions, as asked

What is your age?
Should Democrats in Congress stay on their current course, or change direction?
If Democrats win control of the House of Representatives in the 2026 election, should Hakeem Jeffries become Speaker of the House, or should Democrats choose someone else?
Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or a member of another party?