Democrats under 45 in our polls favor replacing Jeffries over making him Speaker, 47% to 22%.

3,050 responses from 2,256 likely voters · margin of error ±3.2 points

0 point-estimate replacement majorities and 14 replacement pluralities. Jeffries is the top answer in 17 polls, with 0 keep majorities. Point-estimate top answers are descriptive counts; overlapping intervals remain tied or split. Plurality means larger than each other answer, not their sum. Indifference and unknowns are not replacement votes. Pooled across our 31 separate state and district polls; not a national sample. Likely voters in the named October state and district polls; not a national sample or forecast. Pooled figures are respondent-proportional descriptive summaries of separate electorates. Each poll’s subgroup weights are normalized to its answered-question n; repeated people remain in record n but their weights are collapsed for Kish effective n. MOEs are approximate pointwise 95% half-widths in percentage points, without adjustment for exploratory multiple comparisons. They do not include all coverage, nonresponse, recall, calibration or selection uncertainty. Wald intervals can extend outside percentage bounds; an observed zero is not a population zero. Unknown and indifferent answers remain in denominators. Fewer than 50 distinct people is suppressed; 50–99 means interpret with caution.

37.3% of Democrats in our 31 October polls want someone other than Hakeem Jeffries as Speaker (95% margin of error ±1.6 points). 39.1% of Democrats in our 31 October polls choose “Jeffries should become Speaker” for Democratic leadership (95% margin of error ±1.6 points). 47.1% of Democrats under 45 in our 31 October polls want someone other than Hakeem Jeffries as Speaker (95% margin of error ±3.2 points). 22.3% of Democrats under 45 in our 31 October polls choose “Jeffries should become Speaker” for Democratic leadership (95% margin of error ±2.7 points). The featured estimate uses 3,050 responses from 2,256 distinct people, with an effective sample size of 928.4. In 14 of our 31 polls, more Democrats want someone else than want Jeffries. These are point estimates; overlapping intervals remain tied or split. 0 point-estimate replacement majorities and 14 replacement pluralities. Jeffries is the top answer in 17 polls, with 0 keep majorities. Point-estimate top answers are descriptive counts; overlapping intervals remain tied or split. Plurality means larger than each other answer, not their sum. Indifference and unknowns are not replacement votes. Pooled across our 31 separate state and district polls; not a national sample. Likely voters in the named October state and district polls; not a national sample or forecast. Pooled figures are respondent-proportional descriptive summaries of separate electorates. Each poll’s subgroup weights are normalized to its answered-question n; repeated people remain in record n but their weights are collapsed for Kish effective n. MOEs are approximate pointwise 95% half-widths in percentage points, without adjustment for exploratory multiple comparisons. They do not include all coverage, nonresponse, recall, calibration or selection uncertainty. Wald intervals can extend outside percentage bounds; an observed zero is not a population zero. Unknown and indifferent answers remain in denominators. Fewer than 50 distinct people is suppressed; 50–99 means interpret with caution.