October 20–23, 2026 · CA-48

California

Crosstabs

Poll of 1,151 California's 48th Congressional District likely voters · Released October 24, 2026 · Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit

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Results by group

Pick any question in this poll and see how each group of likely voters answered it.

Question

Q1How likely are you to vote in the November 3, 2026 general election in {place}?

Base: Likely voters (AFWH house estimate), n = 1,151. Includes those who already voted.

Words in braces were filled in for each respondent.

Hispanic of any race. Other: Asian, Pacific Islander, Native American, multiracial and other races. The party respondents said they identify with, or their voter-file party where they did not say. The party recorded on each respondent's voter-file record. Asked only of those who had not yet voted. The word respondents chose to describe their political views.

Group

Q1 by Demographics
	All	Gender		Age				Race			College degree		Race by education
Answer	Total	Men	Women	18‑29†	30‑44	45‑64	65+	White	Hispanic	Black and other	College degree	No college degree	White college	White non‑college	Non‑white
Already voted	53	54	52	46	46	45	61	54	55	41	51	54	56	53	50
Extremely likely	41	41	42	40	47	47	36	42	36	50	44	40	40	43	40
Very likely	4	4	3	6	4	5	2	3	6	4	3	4	3	2	6
Somewhat likely	1	*	2	7	1	2	*	1	2	3	1	1	1	*	2
Somewhat unlikely	*	*	*	-	-	*	-	*	-	1	-	*	-	*	*
Very unlikely	*	*	*	-	*	-	*	*	*	-	*	*	*	-	*
Extremely unlikely	*	1	*	1	1	*	*	*	1	-	*	1	*	*	1
Don't know / No opinion	*	-	*	-	-	1	-	*	-	*	*	-	*	-	*
Interviews (n)	1,151	614	495	67†	135	430	487	778	188	126	604	516	428	345	314
Margin of error (±)	3.6	5.1	5.4	15.6	10.6	5.8	5.5	4.2	8.4	11.1	5.0	5.0	5.4	5.8	6.7

All likely votersn = 1,151 · ±3.6

Already voted53%

Extremely likely41%

Very likely4%

Somewhat likely1%

Somewhat unlikely*

Very unlikely*

Extremely unlikely*

Don't know / No opinion*

Menn = 614 · ±5.1

Already voted54%

Extremely likely41%

Very likely4%

Somewhat likely*

Somewhat unlikely*

Very unlikely*

Extremely unlikely1%

Don't know / No opinion-

Womenn = 495 · ±5.4

Already voted52%

Extremely likely42%

Very likely3%

Somewhat likely2%

Somewhat unlikely*

Very unlikely*

Extremely unlikely*

Don't know / No opinion*

How to read the table. Percent of likely voters in each group, weighted; n is the number of interviews, unweighted. Each column's margin of error is the 95% margin on one share, design effect included; the margin on a gap between two answers is larger.

"*" less than 0.5%. "-" zero. "n<50" fewer than 50 respondents: not shown. "†" 50 to 99 respondents: interpret with caution. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Every question, every group. The PDF and the CSV carry all of this poll's questions by all of its groups, with the full method statement. Methodology