October 20–23, 2026 · CA-11

California

Crosstabs

Poll of 856 California's 11th Congressional District likely voters · Released October 24, 2026 · Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit

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Results by group

Pick any question in this poll and see how each group of likely voters answered it.

Question

Q1How likely are you to vote in the November 3, 2026 general election in {place}?

Base: Likely voters (AFWH house estimate), n = 856. Includes those who already voted.

Words in braces were filled in for each respondent.

Hispanic of any race. Other: Asian, Pacific Islander, Native American, multiracial and other races. The party respondents said they identify with, or their voter-file party where they did not say. The party recorded on each respondent's voter-file record. Asked only of those who had not yet voted. The word respondents chose to describe their political views.

Group

Q1 by Demographics
	All	Gender		Age				Race			College degree		Race by education
Answer	Total	Men	Women	18‑29†	30‑44	45‑64	65+	White	Hispanic	Black and other	College degree	No college degree	White college	White non‑college†	Non‑white
Already voted	39	44	33	35	39	37	45	43	40	38	37	46	42	44	38
Extremely likely	55	49	62	56	54	55	53	55	54	52	58	47	56	51	52
Very likely	4	4	3	4	4	5	2	1	2	8	3	4	1	1	6
Somewhat likely	1	1	*	3	*	1	-	1	-	*	*	2	*	4	*
Somewhat unlikely	*	*	-	1	-	*	-	-	-	*	-	1	-	-	*
Very unlikely	*	*	-	*	-	*	-	-	1	-	*	*	-	-	*
Extremely unlikely	1	1	*	*	*	1	*	1	2	*	1	1	1	-	1
Don't know / No opinion	1	*	1	1	2	*	*	*	*	2	1	*	*	-	2
Interviews (n)	856	498	315	88†	251	308	194	518	118	171	672	163	434	82†	289
Margin of error (±)	4.7	6.5	7.2	15.5	9.3	7.8	9.1	5.3	11.7	10.2	5.5	9.8	5.6	12.9	8.3

All likely votersn = 856 · ±4.7

Already voted39%

Extremely likely55%

Very likely4%

Somewhat likely1%

Somewhat unlikely*

Very unlikely*

Extremely unlikely1%

Don't know / No opinion1%

Menn = 498 · ±6.5

Already voted44%

Extremely likely49%

Very likely4%

Somewhat likely1%

Somewhat unlikely*

Very unlikely*

Extremely unlikely1%

Don't know / No opinion*

Womenn = 315 · ±7.2

Already voted33%

Extremely likely62%

Very likely3%

Somewhat likely*

Somewhat unlikely-

Very unlikely-

Extremely unlikely*

Don't know / No opinion1%

How to read the table. Percent of likely voters in each group, weighted; n is the number of interviews, unweighted. Each column's margin of error is the 95% margin on one share, design effect included; the margin on a gap between two answers is larger.

"*" less than 0.5%. "-" zero. "n<50" fewer than 50 respondents: not shown. "†" 50 to 99 respondents: interpret with caution. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Every question, every group. The PDF and the CSV carry all of this poll's questions by all of its groups, with the full method statement. Methodology