California

Crosstabs

Results by group

Pick any question in this poll and see how each group of likely voters answered it.

Q1How likely are you to vote in the November 3, 2026 general election in {place}?

Base: Likely voters (AFWH house estimate), n = 722. Includes those who already voted.

Words in braces were filled in for each respondent.

Hispanic of any race. Other: Asian, Pacific Islander, Native American, multiracial and other races. The party respondents said they identify with, or their voter-file party where they did not say. The party recorded on each respondent's voter-file record. Asked only of those who had not yet voted. The word respondents chose to describe their political views.

Q1 by Demographics
AllGenderAgeRaceCollege degreeRace by education
AnswerTotalMenWomen18‑29†30‑4445‑6465+WhiteHispanicBlack and otherCollege degreeNo college degreeWhite collegeWhite non‑collegeNon‑white
Already voted505545455145544751565050494754
Extremely likely444047384048444837384543504638
Very likely4341345*28434126
Somewhat likely1*224**12111*12
Somewhat unlikely***-1*-*-*-*-**
Very unlikely***1*********1*
Extremely unlikely1*11*1111*11*11
Don't know / No opinion111-1111*-*111*
Interviews (n)72236932671†127267243432108130394315251180238
Margin of error (±)4.76.76.814.911.58.37.55.811.811.16.46.77.28.58.2

All likely votersn = 722 · ±4.7

Already voted50%
Extremely likely44%
Very likely4%
Somewhat likely1%
Somewhat unlikely*
Very unlikely*
Extremely unlikely1%
Don't know / No opinion1%

Menn = 369 · ±6.7

Already voted55%
Extremely likely40%
Very likely3%
Somewhat likely*
Somewhat unlikely*
Very unlikely*
Extremely unlikely*
Don't know / No opinion1%

Womenn = 326 · ±6.8

Already voted45%
Extremely likely47%
Very likely4%
Somewhat likely2%
Somewhat unlikely*
Very unlikely*
Extremely unlikely1%
Don't know / No opinion1%

How to read the table. Percent of likely voters in each group, weighted; n is the number of interviews, unweighted. Each column's margin of error is the 95% margin on one share, design effect included; the margin on a gap between two answers is larger.

"*" less than 0.5%. "-" zero. "n<50" fewer than 50 respondents: not shown. "†" 50 to 99 respondents: interpret with caution. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Every question, every group. The PDF and the CSV carry all of this poll's questions by all of its groups, with the full method statement. Methodology