PA-07 voters who say they’ve already voted favor Brooks 67% to 24%.

224 likely voters · margin of error ±7.4 points

Already voted is self-report, not verified returns or a forecast of remaining voters. Likely voters in the named October state and district polls; not a national sample or forecast. Pooled figures are respondent-proportional descriptive summaries of separate electorates. Each poll’s subgroup weights are normalized to its answered-question n; repeated people remain in record n but their weights are collapsed for Kish effective n. MOEs are approximate pointwise 95% half-widths in percentage points, without adjustment for exploratory multiple comparisons. They do not include all coverage, nonresponse, recall, calibration or selection uncertainty. Wald intervals can extend outside percentage bounds; an observed zero is not a population zero. Unknown and indifferent answers remain in denominators. Fewer than 50 distinct people is suppressed; 50–99 means interpret with caution.

67.5% of likely voters who say they already voted in PA-07 support Bob Brooks, Democrat (95% margin of error ±7.4 points; n=224, 224 distinct people, effective n=154.7). 24.5% of likely voters who say they already voted in PA-07 support Ryan Mackenzie, Republican (95% margin of error ±6.8 points; n=224, 224 distinct people, effective n=154.7). 37.1% of likely voters who say they have not yet voted in PA-07 support Bob Brooks, Democrat (95% margin of error ±5.8 points; n=420, 420 distinct people, effective n=265.2). 55.8% of likely voters who say they have not yet voted in PA-07 support Ryan Mackenzie, Republican (95% margin of error ±6.0 points; n=420, 420 distinct people, effective n=265.2). The featured estimate uses 224 responses from 224 distinct people, with an effective sample size of 154.7. Already voted is self-report, not verified returns or a forecast of remaining voters. Likely voters in the named October state and district polls; not a national sample or forecast. Pooled figures are respondent-proportional descriptive summaries of separate electorates. Each poll’s subgroup weights are normalized to its answered-question n; repeated people remain in record n but their weights are collapsed for Kish effective n. MOEs are approximate pointwise 95% half-widths in percentage points, without adjustment for exploratory multiple comparisons. They do not include all coverage, nonresponse, recall, calibration or selection uncertainty. Wald intervals can extend outside percentage bounds; an observed zero is not a population zero. Unknown and indifferent answers remain in denominators. Fewer than 50 distinct people is suppressed; 50–99 means interpret with caution.