What we found

Independents favor the Democrat in 32 of 33 races we polled.

32 of 33races

Our October polls

Exception: NY-17, Lawler (R) 46.9% to Conley (D) 40.0%. Self-identified independents; point estimates. Democrat-versus-Republican races only.

About these findings

These findings combine answers from our separate state and district polls. They describe voters in those polls, not the whole country. Margins of error are at 95% confidence; smaller groups have wider margins. How we poll

Technical notes

Descriptive point estimates across separate races or polls, not a national sample or significance test. Unweighted median across polls or races using unrounded shares, rounded only for display.