Florida independents back Jolly 58% to 32%, while the overall governor’s race is split.

1,346 likely voters · margin of error ±6.2 points

Florida governor preferences among independents and all likely voters. Groups overlap; no independent-versus-all significance claim is made. Independents (self-identified). Independent means the literal party_identity answer Independent; self-ID only. No voter-file fallback or leaner reassignment. Another party is excluded. Democratic, Republican and independent splits use separate self-identification categories. Likely voters in the named October state and district polls; not a national sample or forecast. Pooled figures are respondent-proportional descriptive summaries of separate electorates. Each poll’s subgroup weights are normalized to its answered-question n; repeated people remain in record n but their weights are collapsed for Kish effective n. MOEs are approximate pointwise 95% half-widths in percentage points, without adjustment for exploratory multiple comparisons. They do not include all coverage, nonresponse, recall, calibration or selection uncertainty. Wald intervals can extend outside percentage bounds; an observed zero is not a population zero. Unknown and indifferent answers remain in denominators. Fewer than 50 distinct people is suppressed; 50–99 means interpret with caution.

58.0% of Independents (self-identified) in FL support David Jolly, Democrat (95% margin of error ±6.2 points; n=1,346, 1,346 distinct people, effective n=240.8). 31.8% of Independents (self-identified) in FL support Byron Donalds, Republican (95% margin of error ±5.9 points; n=1,346, 1,346 distinct people, effective n=240.8). 43.9% of all likely voters in FL support David Jolly, Democrat (95% margin of error ±3.3 points; n=4,823, 4,823 distinct people, effective n=875.9). 49.8% of all likely voters in FL support Byron Donalds, Republican (95% margin of error ±3.3 points; n=4,823, 4,823 distinct people, effective n=875.9). The featured estimate uses 1,346 responses from 1,346 distinct people, with an effective sample size of 240.8. Florida governor preferences among independents and all likely voters. Groups overlap; no independent-versus-all significance claim is made. Independents (self-identified). Independent means the literal party_identity answer Independent; self-ID only. No voter-file fallback or leaner reassignment. Another party is excluded. Democratic, Republican and independent splits use separate self-identification categories. Likely voters in the named October state and district polls; not a national sample or forecast. Pooled figures are respondent-proportional descriptive summaries of separate electorates. Each poll’s subgroup weights are normalized to its answered-question n; repeated people remain in record n but their weights are collapsed for Kish effective n. MOEs are approximate pointwise 95% half-widths in percentage points, without adjustment for exploratory multiple comparisons. They do not include all coverage, nonresponse, recall, calibration or selection uncertainty. Wald intervals can extend outside percentage bounds; an observed zero is not a population zero. Unknown and indifferent answers remain in denominators. Fewer than 50 distinct people is suppressed; 50–99 means interpret with caution.