32 of 33races · median 8.9 points
Our October polls
2024 vote as voters told us. The Democratic margin now and in 2024 uses the same people and weights. Democrat-versus-Republican races only.
The Democrat runs ahead of these same voters' 2024 presidential vote in 32 of 33 races, by a median of 8.9 points.
About these findings
These findings combine answers from our separate state and district polls. They describe voters in those polls, not the whole country. Margins of error are at 95% confidence; smaller groups have wider margins. How we poll
Technical notes
Descriptive point estimates across separate races or polls, not a national sample or significance test. Unweighted median across polls or races using unrounded shares, rounded only for display.