RedBox Research · Election night, November 3, 2026
Ohio U.S. Senate (special)
Statewide: the count beside our final poll and our turnout model
- Cook rating
- Toss-up
as of 2026-10-23
- Our final poll
- Brown +3
D+2.6 among all respondents
- The count
- Polls open
Polls close 7:30 p.m. ET · the state's results
- Against our final poll
- Once votes are counted
- Turnout against our model
- Our model expects 3,671,655 votes
53.6% of 6,846,336 registered voters
| County | Votes counted | Reporting | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adams County | – | – | – |
| Allen County | – | – | – |
| Ashland County | – | – | – |
| Ashtabula County | – | – | – |
| Athens County | – | – | – |
| Auglaize County | – | – | – |
| Belmont County | – | – | – |
| Brown County | – | – | – |
| Butler County | – | – | – |
| Carroll County | – | – | – |
| Champaign County | – | – | – |
| Clark County | – | – | – |
| Clermont County | – | – | – |
| Clinton County | – | – | – |
| Columbiana County | – | – | – |
| Coshocton County | – | – | – |
| Crawford County | – | – | – |
| Cuyahoga County | – | – | – |
| Darke County | – | – | – |
| Defiance County | – | – | – |
| Delaware County | – | – | – |
| Erie County | – | – | – |
| Fairfield County | – | – | – |
| Fayette County | – | – | – |
| Franklin County | – | – | – |
| Fulton County | – | – | – |
| Gallia County | – | – | – |
| Geauga County | – | – | – |
| Greene County | – | – | – |
| Guernsey County | – | – | – |
| Hamilton County | – | – | – |
| Hancock County | – | – | – |
| Hardin County | – | – | – |
| Harrison County | – | – | – |
| Henry County | – | – | – |
| Highland County | – | – | – |
| Hocking County | – | – | – |
| Holmes County | – | – | – |
| Huron County | – | – | – |
| Jackson County | – | – | – |
| Jefferson County | – | – | – |
| Knox County | – | – | – |
| Lake County | – | – | – |
| Lawrence County | – | – | – |
| Licking County | – | – | – |
| Logan County | – | – | – |
| Lorain County | – | – | – |
| Lucas County | – | – | – |
| Madison County | – | – | – |
| Mahoning County | – | – | – |
| Marion County | – | – | – |
| Medina County | – | – | – |
| Meigs County | – | – | – |
| Mercer County | – | – | – |
| Miami County | – | – | – |
| Monroe County | – | – | – |
| Montgomery County | – | – | – |
| Morgan County | – | – | – |
| Morrow County | – | – | – |
| Muskingum County | – | – | – |
| Noble County | – | – | – |
| Ottawa County | – | – | – |
| Paulding County | – | – | – |
| Perry County | – | – | – |
| Pickaway County | – | – | – |
| Pike County | – | – | – |
| Portage County | – | – | – |
| Preble County | – | – | – |
| Putnam County | – | – | – |
| Richland County | – | – | – |
| Ross County | – | – | – |
| Sandusky County | – | – | – |
| Scioto County | – | – | – |
| Seneca County | – | – | – |
| Shelby County | – | – | – |
| Stark County | – | – | – |
| Summit County | – | – | – |
| Trumbull County | – | – | – |
| Tuscarawas County | – | – | – |
| Union County | – | – | – |
| Van Wert County | – | – | – |
| Vinton County | – | – | – |
| Warren County | – | – | – |
| Washington County | – | – | – |
| Wayne County | – | – | – |
| Williams County | – | – | – |
| Wood County | – | – | – |
| Wyandot County | – | – | – |
Against our final poll is the count's Democratic margin less our final poll's (each the Democrat's share less the Republican's; the poll's shares include undecided respondents). Early counts lean toward whichever ballots a state counts first, mail or Election Day, so read it beside how much of the expected vote is in.
Turnout against our model holds the votes counted against our voter-file turnout model (as of 2026-10-19): below 100% while the count runs; once every precinct reports, above 100% is more voters than we expected.
County turnout is not compared here: our model places only 86% of Ohio's expected voters in a county.
By county we have no vote-share model outside Florida and North Carolina, so counties show the count as the state reports it.
The count is unofficial: each state's own election-night results, read every few minutes; it shows once the state posts votes after its first polls close.