RedBox Research · Election night, November 3, 2026
Nevada Governor
Statewide: the count beside our final poll and our turnout model
- Cook rating
- Toss-up
as of 2026-10-28
- Our final poll
- Ford +3
D+3.0 among all respondents
- The count
- Polls open
Polls close 10 p.m. ET · the state's results
- Against our final poll
- Once votes are counted
- Turnout against our model
- Our model expects 1,201,281 votes
58% of 2,070,998 registered voters
| County | Votes counted | Reporting | Margin | Votes vs. expected turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark County | – | – | – | 779,438 expected |
| Washoe County | – | – | – | 207,896 expected |
| Douglas County | – | – | – | 30,211 expected |
| Lyon County | – | – | – | 26,627 expected |
| Carson City | – | – | – | 24,748 expected |
| Nye County | – | – | – | 22,466 expected |
| Elko County | – | – | – | 16,598 expected |
| Churchill County | – | – | – | 10,758 expected |
| Humboldt County | – | – | – | 6,146 expected |
| White Pine County | – | – | – | 2,928 expected |
| Storey County | – | – | – | 2,427 expected |
| Lander County | – | – | – | 2,154 expected |
| Mineral County | – | – | – | 2,076 expected |
| Lincoln County | – | – | – | 1,784 expected |
| Pershing County | – | – | – | 1,767 expected |
| Eureka County | – | – | – | 600 expected |
| Esmeralda County | – | – | – | 191 expected |
Against our final poll is the count's Democratic margin less our final poll's (each the Democrat's share less the Republican's; the poll's shares include undecided respondents). Early counts lean toward whichever ballots a state counts first, mail or Election Day, so read it beside how much of the expected vote is in.
Turnout against our model holds the votes counted against our voter-file turnout model (as of 2026-10-06): below 100% while the count runs; once every precinct reports, above 100% is more voters than we expected.
By county we have no vote-share model outside Florida and North Carolina, so counties show the count as the state reports it, beside our expected turnout.
The count is unofficial: each state's own election-night results, read every few minutes; it shows once the state posts votes after its first polls close.