RedBox Research · Election night, November 3, 2026
Kansas U.S. Senate
Statewide: the count beside our final poll and our turnout model
- Cook rating
- Toss-up
as of 2026-10-23
- Our final poll
- Marshall +1
R+0.8 among all respondents
- The count
- Polls open
Polls close 9 p.m. ET · the state's results
- Against our final poll
- Once votes are counted
- Turnout against our model
- Our model expects 924,048 votes
53.5% of 1,727,284 registered voters
| County | Votes counted | Reporting | Margin | Votes vs. expected turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson County | – | – | – | 239,352 expected |
| Sedgwick County | – | – | – | 135,433 expected |
| Shawnee County | – | – | – | 60,220 expected |
| Douglas County | – | – | – | 40,921 expected |
| Wyandotte County | – | – | – | 29,349 expected |
| Leavenworth County | – | – | – | 24,450 expected |
| Butler County | – | – | – | 21,259 expected |
| Reno County | – | – | – | 18,529 expected |
| Riley County | – | – | – | 15,960 expected |
| Saline County | – | – | – | 14,802 expected |
| Miami County | – | – | – | 12,670 expected |
| Harvey County | – | – | – | 10,890 expected |
| McPherson County | – | – | – | 10,752 expected |
| Crawford County | – | – | – | 10,737 expected |
| Cowley County | – | – | – | 9,182 expected |
| Pottawatomie County | – | – | – | 9,019 expected |
| Ellis County | – | – | – | 8,991 expected |
| Lyon County | – | – | – | 8,423 expected |
| Franklin County | – | – | – | 8,310 expected |
| Sumner County | – | – | – | 7,215 expected |
| Montgomery County | – | – | – | 7,083 expected |
| Barton County | – | – | – | 6,969 expected |
| Jefferson County | – | – | – | 6,843 expected |
| Dickinson County | – | – | – | 6,302 expected |
| Finney County | – | – | – | 5,960 expected |
| Cherokee County | – | – | – | 5,788 expected |
| Geary County | – | – | – | 5,660 expected |
| Labette County | – | – | – | 5,176 expected |
| Atchison County | – | – | – | 4,850 expected |
| Neosho County | – | – | – | 4,677 expected |
| Bourbon County | – | – | – | 4,464 expected |
| Ford County | – | – | – | 4,411 expected |
| Jackson County | – | – | – | 4,114 expected |
| Marion County | – | – | – | 3,896 expected |
| Nemaha County | – | – | – | 3,864 expected |
| Marshall County | – | – | – | 3,580 expected |
| Osage County | – | – | – | 3,307 expected |
| Allen County | – | – | – | 3,206 expected |
| Linn County | – | – | – | 3,072 expected |
| Coffey County | – | – | – | 3,005 expected |
| Clay County | – | – | – | 2,811 expected |
| Brown County | – | – | – | 2,801 expected |
| Cloud County | – | – | – | 2,772 expected |
| Pratt County | – | – | – | 2,711 expected |
| Kingman County | – | – | – | 2,689 expected |
| Rice County | – | – | – | 2,644 expected |
| Wabaunsee County | – | – | – | 2,534 expected |
| Anderson County | – | – | – | 2,512 expected |
| Seward County | – | – | – | 2,398 expected |
| Russell County | – | – | – | 2,343 expected |
| Thomas County | – | – | – | 2,328 expected |
| Wilson County | – | – | – | 2,274 expected |
| Phillips County | – | – | – | 2,233 expected |
| Washington County | – | – | – | 2,220 expected |
| Doniphan County | – | – | – | 2,079 expected |
| Morris County | – | – | – | 2,001 expected |
| Mitchell County | – | – | – | 1,994 expected |
| Ellsworth County | – | – | – | 1,948 expected |
| Ottawa County | – | – | – | 1,920 expected |
| Greenwood County | – | – | – | 1,817 expected |
| Rooks County | – | – | – | 1,787 expected |
| Sherman County | – | – | – | 1,718 expected |
| Harper County | – | – | – | 1,692 expected |
| Pawnee County | – | – | – | 1,468 expected |
| Grant County | – | – | – | 1,396 expected |
| Barber County | – | – | – | 1,394 expected |
| Scott County | – | – | – | 1,360 expected |
| Smith County | – | – | – | 1,322 expected |
| Stafford County | – | – | – | 1,262 expected |
| Republic County | – | – | – | 1,215 expected |
| Norton County | – | – | – | 1,212 expected |
| Gray County | – | – | – | 1,183 expected |
| Osborne County | – | – | – | 1,130 expected |
| Stevens County | – | – | – | 1,102 expected |
| Trego County | – | – | – | 1,057 expected |
| Woodson County | – | – | – | 1,031 expected |
| Rush County | – | – | – | 1,025 expected |
| Chautauqua County | – | – | – | 1,016 expected |
| Meade County | – | – | – | 991 expected |
| Logan County | – | – | – | 990 expected |
| Chase County | – | – | – | 915 expected |
| Elk County | – | – | – | 864 expected |
| Ness County | – | – | – | 811 expected |
| Jewell County | – | – | – | 801 expected |
| Gove County | – | – | – | 799 expected |
| Haskell County | – | – | – | 798 expected |
| Cheyenne County | – | – | – | 796 expected |
| Rawlins County | – | – | – | 793 expected |
| Graham County | – | – | – | 752 expected |
| Lincoln County | – | – | – | 740 expected |
| Edwards County | – | – | – | 714 expected |
| Clark County | – | – | – | 676 expected |
| Kearny County | – | – | – | 622 expected |
| Decatur County | – | – | – | 617 expected |
| Hodgeman County | – | – | – | 593 expected |
| Kiowa County | – | – | – | 569 expected |
| Lane County | – | – | – | 566 expected |
| Morton County | – | – | – | 549 expected |
| Wichita County | – | – | – | 546 expected |
| Comanche County | – | – | – | 526 expected |
| Sheridan County | – | – | – | 450 expected |
| Hamilton County | – | – | – | 430 expected |
| Wallace County | – | – | – | 411 expected |
| Stanton County | – | – | – | 406 expected |
| Greeley County | – | – | – | 362 expected |
Against our final poll is the count's Democratic margin less our final poll's (each the Democrat's share less the Republican's; the poll's shares include undecided respondents). Early counts lean toward whichever ballots a state counts first, mail or Election Day, so read it beside how much of the expected vote is in.
Turnout against our model holds the votes counted against our voter-file turnout model (as of 2026-10-06): below 100% while the count runs; once every precinct reports, above 100% is more voters than we expected.
By county we have no vote-share model outside Florida and North Carolina, so counties show the count as the state reports it, beside our expected turnout.
The count is unofficial: each state's own election-night results, read every few minutes; it shows once the state posts votes after its first polls close.