Population: Registered voters. No validated respondent-level likely-voter component was applied, so these estimates describe registered voters, weighted to the modeled likely-electorate composition.
Likely voters: None (not validated).
Weighted responses. Undecided answers are shown separately. A lead is called only when it is larger than the sampling margin widened by a 90% total-error band; otherwise it is within error.
Attorney General ballot choice
Lead called Kathy Jennings leads Undecided by 26.9 points (total error ±19.1 at 90%).
| Response | Percent | Interviews | 95% margin | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Jennings | 51.4% | 578 | ±3.4 pp | |
| Undecided | 24.5% | 260 | ±3.0 pp | |
| Dwayne J. Bensing | 13.1% | 132 | ±2.5 pp | |
| Prefer not to answer | 2.9% | 36 | ±1.4 pp |
U.S. Senator ballot choice
Lead called Chris Coons leads Undecided by 47.0 points (total error ±19.1 at 90%).
| Response | Percent | Interviews | 95% margin | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Coons | 63.8% | 728 | ±3.3 pp | |
| Undecided | 16.9% | 180 | ±2.7 pp | |
| Jeff Appelhans | 5.7% | 52 | ±1.8 pp | |
| Mary Louve | 3.8% | 30 | ±1.5 pp | |
| Would not vote in this race | 2.9% | 30 | ±1.4 pp | |
| Someone else | 2.6% | 31 | ±1.3 pp |
State Treasurer ballot choice
Within error Ted Lauzen and Undecided are within the total error band (+4.3 points; total error ±19.1); no lead is called.
| Response | Percent | Interviews | 95% margin | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lauzen | 32.8% | 373 | ±3.3 pp | |
| Undecided | 28.5% | 317 | ±3.2 pp | |
| Mike Miller | 17.7% | 165 | ±2.7 pp | |
| Michael Alexander Smith | 12.7% | 127 | ±2.4 pp | |
| Prefer not to answer | 3.1% | 38 | ±1.4 pp | |
| Would not vote in this race | 2.9% | 33 | ±1.4 pp |
| gender | Kathy Jennings | Undecided | Dwayne J. Bensing | Prefer not to answer | Patty Rickman | Would not vote in this race | Someone else | Did not vote in this race |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All respondents | 51.4% | 24.5% | 13.1% | 2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Women | 53.0% | 25.7% | 11.4% * | —Base too small | —Base too small | —Base too small | —Base too small | —Base too small |
| Men | 51.1% | 23.0% * | 15.0% * | —Base too small | —Base too small | —Base too small | —Base too small | —Base too small |
| UnknownWithheld: Base too small | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
* Small sample. A dash means the estimate is withheld because too few interviews support it; the reason is shown. Percentages may not total 100 because of rounding.
Preliminary findings from this published snapshot. Later interviews are not included.
Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit.
1.96 × √(design effect × 0.25 ÷ n) × 100, for a 50% result among all respondents
36 estimates are withheld because their base is too small to report.
| Variable | Category | Target | Weighted sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | Women | 59.2% | 59.0% |
| Men | 37.9% | 38.0% | |
| Unknown | 2.9% | 3.0% | |
| Age group | 65+ | 58.7% | 59.2% |
| 18-29 | 3.0% | 2.5% | |
| 30-44 | 10.0% | 9.8% | |
| 45-54 | 10.2% | 10.2% | |
| 55-64 | 18.1% | 18.2% | |
| Race and ethnicity (voter-file model) | Asian or Pacific Islander | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Black | 27.1% | 26.6% | |
| Other | 2.4% | 2.4% | |
| White | 63.6% | 64.0% | |
| Hispanic | 4.7% | 4.7% |
How likely are you to vote in the September 15, 2026 Democratic primary election?
Options: Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure
For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”
Options: Jeff Appelhans / Chris Coons / E. No-Trump Hansen / Mary Louve / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer
If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: Jeff Appelhans / Chris Coons / E. No-Trump Hansen / Mary Louve / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race
For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”
Options: Dwayne J. Bensing / Kathy Jennings / Patty Rickman / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer
If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: Dwayne J. Bensing / Kathy Jennings / Patty Rickman / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race
For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for State Treasurer?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”
Options: Ted Lauzen / Mike Miller / Michael Alexander Smith / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer
If the Democratic primary for State Treasurer were held today, for whom would you vote?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: Ted Lauzen / Mike Miller / Michael Alexander Smith / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race
How much have you thought about this primary?
Options: A great deal / Some / A little / Not at all / Not sure / Prefer not to answer
How did you cast your vote in this primary?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”
Options: In person on Election Day / Early in person / Absentee ballot, by mail or drop-off / Not sure / Prefer not to answer
If you vote in this primary, how do you plan to vote?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: In person on Election Day / Early in person / Absentee ballot, by mail or drop-off / Have not decided / Do not plan to vote / Prefer not to answer
Did you vote in the Delaware primary in September 2024? This was before the November general election.
Options: Yes / No / I was not eligible to vote then / I did not live in Delaware then / Do not remember / Prefer not to answer
What is your age?
Options: 18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer
What is your gender?
Options: Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer
What is the highest level of school you have completed?
Options: Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer
Are you Hispanic or Latino?
Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer
How would you describe your racial background?
Options: White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer
How sure are you that you will vote in the September 15 primary? Pick a number from 1 to 10.
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: 1 — Definitely will not vote / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 6 / 7 / 8 / 9 / 10 — Definitely will vote / Not sure / Prefer not to answer
How likely are you to vote in the September 15, 2026 Democratic primary election?
Options: Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure
For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”
Options: Jeff Appelhans / Chris Coons / E. No-Trump Hansen / Mary Louve / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer
If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: Jeff Appelhans / Chris Coons / E. No-Trump Hansen / Mary Louve / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race
For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”
Options: Dwayne J. Bensing / Kathy Jennings / Patty Rickman / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer
If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: Dwayne J. Bensing / Kathy Jennings / Patty Rickman / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race
For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for State Treasurer?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”
Options: Ted Lauzen / Mike Miller / Michael Alexander Smith / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer
If the Democratic primary for State Treasurer were held today, for whom would you vote?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: Ted Lauzen / Mike Miller / Michael Alexander Smith / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race
How much have you thought about this primary?
Options: A great deal / Some / A little / Not at all / Not sure / Prefer not to answer
How did you cast your vote in this primary?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”
Options: In person on Election Day / Early in person / Absentee ballot, by mail or drop-off / Not sure / Prefer not to answer
If you vote in this primary, how do you plan to vote?
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: In person on Election Day / Early in person / Absentee ballot, by mail or drop-off / Have not decided / Do not plan to vote / Prefer not to answer
Did you vote in the Delaware primary in September 2024? This was before the November general election.
Options: Yes / No / I was not eligible to vote then / I did not live in Delaware then / Do not remember / Prefer not to answer
What is your age?
Options: 18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer
What is your gender?
Options: Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer
What is the highest level of school you have completed?
Options: Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer
Are you Hispanic or Latino?
Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer
How would you describe your racial background?
Options: White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer
How sure are you that you will vote in the September 15 primary? Pick a number from 1 to 10.
Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”
Options: 1 — Definitely will not vote / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 6 / 7 / 8 / 9 / 10 — Definitely will vote / Not sure / Prefer not to answer
Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit. Population: Delaware Democratic primary electorate — revised 17-question poll (DE). Sample frame: 331,237 voter-file records in universe "Delaware 2026 Democratic primary — L2 hybrid deficit augmentation v2" (State: DE); random draw of 400; 64,054 sent a text invitation. Sample frame: 331,237 voter-file records in universe "Delaware 2026 Democratic primary federal statewide and at-large" (State: DE; Party registration: democrat; Primary party: democrat; Primary type: closed; Office: Federal Democratic primary — statewide and U.S. House at-large; Turnout model: trained_turnout_de_dem_primary2022_forecast20260915); random draw of 722; 42,671 sent a text invitation. Modes: Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey. Languages: English. Interviews completed September 13, 2026 to September 14, 2026. n = 1,160 completed interviews; 106,725 sampled voters were sent a text invitation; margin of error ±3.3 percentage points at 95% confidence including a design effect of 1.3. Weighting: iterative proportional fitting (raking) to gender (F 59.2%, M 37.9%, U 2.9%); age group (65+ 58.7%, 18-29 3.0%, 30-44 10.0%, 45-54 10.2%, 55-64 18.1%); race and ethnicity (voter-file model) (api 2.2%, black 27.1%, other 2.4%, white 63.6%, hispanic 4.7%), from the expected-turnout composition of the frozen sample design, with race and ethnicity from a probabilistic voter-file model; base weights are the inverse of each sampled voter's recorded selection probability within the stratified draw; weights trimmed to 0.25-4.0. Processing: completed interviews only; partial interviews are excluded. Quality checks flagged 795 people who opened the survey and stopped before completing it, 44 duplicate submissions. 59 estimate(s) reported, 36 withheld under the reporting rules. Limitations: The margin of error (3.3 points at 95% confidence, including the design effect) describes sampling error for a result near 50% among all respondents. Results for subgroups carry larger margins, and question wording, coverage and nonresponse can also affect results. The sponsor is a political committee (a super PAC). Readers should weigh results with that sponsorship in mind. Respondents could be reached only through a telephone number matched to their voter record; voters without a usable number were outside the sample frame. Respondents answered online; people unable or unwilling to complete a web survey are represented only through weighting. 32 respondent(s) had no recorded age group and were not adjusted on that variable. 119 respondent(s) had no recorded race and ethnicity (voter-file model) and were not adjusted on that variable. 36 estimate(s) did not meet the reporting rules (for example, too few respondents) and are withheld. Questions, in the order asked (DE 2026 Democratic Primary, version 2): 1. How likely are you to vote in the September 15, 2026 Democratic primary election? [Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure] 2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator? [Jeff Appelhans / Chris Coons / E. No-Trump Hansen / Mary Louve / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 3. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote? [Jeff Appelhans / Chris Coons / E. No-Trump Hansen / Mary Louve / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) 4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General? [Dwayne J. Bensing / Kathy Jennings / Patty Rickman / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 5. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote? [Dwayne J. Bensing / Kathy Jennings / Patty Rickman / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) 6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for State Treasurer? [Ted Lauzen / Mike Miller / Michael Alexander Smith / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 7. If the Democratic primary for State Treasurer were held today, for whom would you vote? [Ted Lauzen / Mike Miller / Michael Alexander Smith / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) 8. How much have you thought about this primary? [A great deal / Some / A little / Not at all / Not sure / Prefer not to answer] 9. How did you cast your vote in this primary? [In person on Election Day / Early in person / Absentee ballot, by mail or drop-off / Not sure / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 10. If you vote in this primary, how do you plan to vote? [In person on Election Day / Early in person / Absentee ballot, by mail or drop-off / Have not decided / Do not plan to vote / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) 11. Did you vote in the Delaware primary in September 2024? This was before the November general election. [Yes / No / I was not eligible to vote then / I did not live in Delaware then / Do not remember / Prefer not to answer] 12. What is your age? [18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer] 13. What is your gender? [Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer] 14. What is the highest level of school you have completed? [Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer] 15. Are you Hispanic or Latino? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 16. How would you describe your racial background? [White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer] 17. How sure are you that you will vote in the September 15 primary? Pick a number from 1 to 10. [1 — Definitely will not vote / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 6 / 7 / 8 / 9 / 10 — Definitely will vote / Not sure / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) Questions, in the order asked (DE 2026 Democratic Primary, version 3): 1. How likely are you to vote in the September 15, 2026 Democratic primary election? [Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure] 2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator? [Jeff Appelhans / Chris Coons / E. No-Trump Hansen / Mary Louve / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 3. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote? [Jeff Appelhans / Chris Coons / E. No-Trump Hansen / Mary Louve / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) 4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General? [Dwayne J. Bensing / Kathy Jennings / Patty Rickman / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 5. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote? [Dwayne J. Bensing / Kathy Jennings / Patty Rickman / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) 6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for State Treasurer? [Ted Lauzen / Mike Miller / Michael Alexander Smith / Someone else / Did not vote in this race / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 7. If the Democratic primary for State Treasurer were held today, for whom would you vote? [Ted Lauzen / Mike Miller / Michael Alexander Smith / Someone else / Undecided / Would not vote in this race] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) 8. How much have you thought about this primary? [A great deal / Some / A little / Not at all / Not sure / Prefer not to answer] 9. How did you cast your vote in this primary? [In person on Election Day / Early in person / Absentee ballot, by mail or drop-off / Not sure / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 10. If you vote in this primary, how do you plan to vote? [In person on Election Day / Early in person / Absentee ballot, by mail or drop-off / Have not decided / Do not plan to vote / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”) 11. Did you vote in the Delaware primary in September 2024? This was before the November general election. [Yes / No / I was not eligible to vote then / I did not live in Delaware then / Do not remember / Prefer not to answer] 12. What is your age? [18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer] 13. What is your gender? [Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer] 14. What is the highest level of school you have completed? [Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer] 15. Are you Hispanic or Latino? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 16. How would you describe your racial background? [White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer] 17. How sure are you that you will vote in the September 15 primary? Pick a number from 1 to 10. [1 — Definitely will not vote / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 6 / 7 / 8 / 9 / 10 — Definitely will vote / Not sure / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely” or “Somewhat likely” or “Somewhat unlikely” or “Very unlikely” or “Extremely unlikely” or “Not sure”)
sha256 af088a65deb6b280c79a6a58aefa288a53b1b6c442badbba9ccbea8a0e288c89
e = 1.0000: proportional allocation (the default of AAPOR Survey Outcome Rate Calculator 5.1 (2023), List Samples sheet) over the 5,457 cases whose eligibility was settled by contact (5,457 eligible, 0 screened out). Duplicate listings are left out because the frame check removed them from every drawn case. The questionnaire has no eligibility screener, and the Standard Definitions treat an unreached named-list case as eligible when none is required.
| AAPOR code | Disposition | Cases |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Complete interview | 1,160 |
| 2.1121 | Opened the survey, answered no question | 17 |
| 2.1133 | Replied STOP to the invitation | 3,485 |
| 2.12 | Break-off: opened the survey and stopped before completing it | 795 |
| 3.20 | Invitation delivered, no response | 98,869 |
| 3.219 | Invitation not delivered | 2,388 |
| 3.23 | No invitation sent (no textable number, or the number was suppressed) | 79,835 |
| 3.9 | Invitation sent, no delivery status returned | 11 |
| Sample frame | Drawn | Completes | RR1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware Democratic Primary Poll 2026 — revised-link continuation | 72,200 | 523 | 0.7% |
| Delaware 2026 Democratic Primary — L2 hybrid augmentation | 114,360 | 637 | 0.6% |
| Race (voter file) | Drawn | Completes | RR1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unknown | 37,100 | 247 | 0.7% |
| Asian American or Pacific Islander | 2,656 | 7 | 0.3% |
| Black | 62,145 | 318 | 0.5% |
| Hispanic | 8,350 | 40 | 0.5% |
| Other | 1,627 | 8 | 0.5% |
| White | 74,682 | 540 | 0.7% |
| File party | Drawn | Completes | RR1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 186,560 | 1,160 | 0.6% |
| Age band | Drawn | Completes | RR1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18-24 | 600 | 1 | 0.2% |
| 25-34 | 3,100 | 2 | 0.1% |
| 35-44 | 5,300 | 19 | 0.4% |
| 45-54 | 20,669 | 72 | 0.3% |
| 55-64 | 28,981 | 204 | 0.7% |
| 65+ | 74,346 | 775 | 1.0% |
| Unknown | 53,564 | 87 | 0.2% |
Rates use the formulas of the AAPOR Survey Outcome Rate Calculator 5.1 (2023), List Samples sheet; RR1 counts every drawn voter except duplicate listings.
Bounds: 0.25 to 4.0 (weight relative to a mean base weight of 1).
Weights trimmed: 5 (strategy: final).
Design effect before trimming: 1.371.
Design effect after trimming: 1.299.
The before figure comes from re-running this run's stored inputs; the rerun matched every stored weight.
Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the data-defect spec covers only general and special elections.
Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the A + recall spec covers only general and special elections.
Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the A + education spec covers only general and special elections.
Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the A + post-ballot partials spec covers only general and special elections.
Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the LV fitted spec covers only general and special elections.
Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the A + covariate undecided allocation spec covers only general and special elections.
Status: not recorded. This weighting run stores no turnout scenarios; they are recorded on November 3, 2026 general and special polls weighted from 2026-10-05.
Invitation text (wave 1), 26,715 sent: "Hi {first_name}, We are looking for insight from {community} voters. Take a {survey_minutes} MIN RedBox Research poll: {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."
Invitation text (wave 1), 26,686 sent: "Hi {first_name}, We are looking for insight from {community} voters before {election_day}. Take a {survey_minutes} MIN RedBox Research poll: {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."
Invitation text (wave 1), 26,665 sent: "Hi {first_name}, We are short on responses from {community} voters. Take a {survey_minutes} MIN RedBox Research poll: {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."
Invitation text (wave 1), 26,659 sent: "Hi {first_name}, We are looking for insight from {community} voters on {election_reference}. Take a {survey_minutes} MIN RedBox Research poll: {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."
Words in braces were filled in for each recipient when the text was sent.
Introduction: the frozen questionnaire has no welcome screen, so the survey opened on its first question.
The survey was self-administered on the web: there was no interviewer or AI script.
Total-error band for this release: primary. E3X I2: AAPOR state presidential MAE 5.1 (2016, 2020); AAPOR 2018 state polls 4.64; primaries 9 (Silver). sd = MAE*sqrt(pi/2).
Delaware Democratic Primary Poll 2026 — Initial Results
Version 1 · Published Sep 14, 2026
Release: faac8aef-496f-4320-84c9-dff730fe2b8c
Source checksum: 810a4be2ff4747ac1c5a1a56e188adda864f80ed04ca16a0468c82d79e9fa66f
