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RedBox Research · 2026

Rhode Island Democratic Primary

Survey results

POST-ELECTION REANALYSIS: this estimate's method was chosen after polls could have closed on 2026-09-09; it is not a pre-election prediction.

Population: Registered voters. No validated respondent-level likely-voter component was applied, so these estimates describe registered voters, weighted to the modeled likely-electorate composition.

Likely voters: None (not validated).

Weighted responses. Undecided answers are shown separately. A lead is called only when it is larger than the sampling margin widened by a 90% total-error band; otherwise it is within error.

Attorney General

Attorney General ballot choice

Within error Keith Hoffmann and Kimberly Ahern are within the total error band (+1.1 points; total error ±19.0); no lead is called.

Question details
ResponsePercentInterviews95% marginNote
Keith Hoffmann28.0%366±3.1 pp
Kimberly Ahern26.9%345±3.1 pp
Not sure16.5%206±2.7 pp
Joseph J. Solomon16.3%231±2.7 pp
Jason P. Knight6.7%87±1.9 pp
Someone else5.6%85±1.8 pp
Keith Hoffmann28.0%
Kimberly Ahern26.9%
Not sure16.5%
Joseph J. Solomon16.3%
Jason P. Knight6.7%
Someone else5.6%

Governor

Governor ballot choice

Lead called Helena Buonanno Foulkes leads Daniel J. McKee by 19.5 points (total error ±19.2 at 90%).

Question details
ResponsePercentInterviews95% marginNote
Helena Buonanno Foulkes50.9%656±3.4 pp
Daniel J. McKee31.4%415±3.2 pp
Not sure9.0%119±2.1 pp
Someone else8.6%138±2.1 pp
Helena Buonanno Foulkes50.9%
Daniel J. McKee31.4%
Not sure9.0%
Someone else8.6%

Lieutenant Governor

Lieutenant Governor ballot choice

Within error Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong and Sabina Matos are within the total error band (+2.3 points; total error ±19.0); no lead is called.

Question details
ResponsePercentInterviews95% marginNote
Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong25.3%351±3.1 pp
Sabina Matos23.0%270±3.0 pp
Not sure19.5%238±2.8 pp
Susan Anderbois13.0%165±2.5 pp
Someone else8.0%118±2.1 pp
Cynthia Armour Coyne7.9%117±2.0 pp
Ross McCurdy3.3%50±1.5 pp
Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong25.3%
Sabina Matos23.0%
Not sure19.5%
Susan Anderbois13.0%
Someone else8.0%
Cynthia Armour Coyne7.9%
Ross McCurdy3.3%

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senator ballot choice

Lead called John F. Reed leads Not sure by 45.1 points (total error ±19.0 at 90%).

Question details
ResponsePercentInterviews95% marginNote
John F. Reed60.3%822±3.4 pp
Not sure15.2%190±2.6 pp
Connor F. Burbridge12.6%138±2.4 pp
Someone else7.5%119±2.0 pp
Luis Daniel Muñoz4.3%48±1.6 pp
John F. Reed60.3%
Not sure15.2%
Connor F. Burbridge12.6%
Someone else7.5%
Luis Daniel Muñoz4.3%

Explore responses

genderKeith HoffmannKimberly AhernNot sureJoseph J. SolomonSomeone elseJason P. Knight
All respondents28.0%26.9%16.5%16.3%5.6%6.7%
Women29.4%29.3%15.4% *14.2% *6.0% *5.7% *
Men26.4%24.2%17.9%18.9%4.5% *8.1% *
UnknownWithheld: Base too small——————

* Small sample. A dash means the estimate is withheld because too few interviews support it; the reason is shown. Percentages may not total 100 because of rounding.

Methodology

This analysis was published after the election; it is not a pre-election forecast.

Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit.

Field dates
Sep 4–9, 2026
Interviews
1,412
Collected by
Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey
Margin of error
±3.3 pts
Design effect
1.58

1.96 × √(design effect × 0.25 ÷ n) × 100, for a 50% result among all respondents

Population
Likely voters in the September 9, 2026 Rhode Island Democratic primary
Sample frame and selection
  • Rhode Island 2026 Democratic primary federal contact master — exact model frame (677,535 eligible records). Voters selected at random (draw sized for 746 completes). 68,593 sent a text invitation.State: RI · Party registration: democrat, no_party · Primary party: democrat · Primary type: semi_closed · Office: U.S. Senate and U.S. House Democratic primaries · Turnout model: trained_turnout_ri_dem_primary2022_forecast20260909
  • Providence 2026 Democratic mayoral primary — exact model frame (104,247 eligible records). Voters selected at random (draw sized for 392 completes). 11,717 sent a text invitation.State: RI · Party registration: democrat, no_party · Primary party: democrat · Primary type: semi_closed · Office: Mayor of Providence · Turnout model: trained_turnout_ri_dem_primary2022_forecast20260909
  • Rhode Island 2026 Democratic primary federal contact master — exact model frame (677,535 eligible records). Voters selected at random (draw sized for 836 completes). 71,234 sent a text invitation.State: RI · Party registration: democrat, no_party · Primary party: democrat · Primary type: semi_closed · Office: U.S. Senate and U.S. House Democratic primaries · Turnout model: trained_turnout_ri_dem_primary2022_forecast20260909
  • Providence 2026 Democratic mayoral primary — exact model frame (104,247 eligible records). Voters selected at random (draw sized for 330 completes). 10,099 sent a text invitation.State: RI · Party registration: democrat, no_party · Primary party: democrat · Primary type: semi_closed · Office: Mayor of Providence · Turnout model: trained_turnout_ri_dem_primary2022_forecast20260909
Modes
Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey
Languages
English
Weighting
Bounded raking (iterative proportional fitting within fixed weight limits), weights bounded between 0.25 and 4. Targets: Model D weights completed interviews to a Rhode Island Democratic-primary electorate. L2 2018 Democratic-primary turnout supplies party registration, gender, and the Black and Hispanic shares. Census citizen voting-age benchmarks allocate L2 unclassified race records across the remaining race categories. The frozen Pollster turnout model supplies age and congressional-district shares. Respondent self-identification is used when answered, with voter-file or modeled values only as fallback when unanswered. All race and ethnicity targets total 100%. Post-election calibration correction: bounded raking fits the same target shares within the same weight bounds. Original pre-election Model D remains separately preserved; this reanalysis is not a pre-election forecast..
Processing and quality
Completed interviews only; partial interviews are excluded.
  • Duplicate submissions: 175

9 estimates are withheld because their base is too small to report.

Weighting targets and weighted sample
VariableCategoryTargetWeighted sample
Party registrationdemocrat61.5%61.5%
No Party38.5%38.5%
GenderWomen57.0%56.2%
Men42.7%42.6%
Unknown0.2%1.1%
Age group65+46.2%45.9%
18-295.0%4.8%
30-4417.0%16.9%
45-5412.4%12.8%
55-6419.4%19.5%
Congressional districtRI-0148.2%48.3%
RI-0251.8%51.7%
Race and ethnicity (voter-file model)Asian or Pacific Islander2.6%2.1%
Black2.7%2.7%
Other2.6%2.7%
White80.2%80.7%
Hispanic11.9%11.8%

Limitations

  • The margin of error (3.3 points at 95% confidence, including the design effect) describes sampling error for a result near 50% among all respondents. Results for subgroups carry larger margins, and question wording, coverage and nonresponse can also affect results.
  • The sponsor is a political committee (a super PAC). Readers should weigh results with that sponsorship in mind.
  • Respondents could be reached only through a telephone number matched to their voter record; voters without a usable number were outside the sample frame.
  • Respondents answered online; people unable or unwilling to complete a web survey are represented only through weighting.
  • 53 respondent(s) had no recorded age group and were not adjusted on that variable.
  • 117 respondent(s) had no recorded race and ethnicity (voter-file model) and were not adjusted on that variable.
  • 9 estimate(s) did not meet the reporting rules (for example, too few respondents) and are withheld.
Questionnaire in the order asked: RI-01 2026 Democratic Primary — Outside Providence v1
  1. How likely are you to vote in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary election?

    Options: Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure

  2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure

  3. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure

  4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure

  5. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure

  6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure

  7. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure

  8. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure

  9. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure

  10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Gabe Amo is doing as a member of Congress?

    Options: Strongly approve / Somewhat approve / Somewhat disapprove / Strongly disapprove / Not sure

  11. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  12. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Ro Khanna?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  13. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Chuck Schumer?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  14. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Hakeem Jeffries?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  15. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee)?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  16. Thinking about the Democrats in the United States Senate, should Chuck Schumer continue as their leader, or should Senate Democrats choose someone else?

    Options: Schumer should continue / Senate Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure

  17. And thinking about the Democrats in the United States House of Representatives, should Hakeem Jeffries continue as their leader, or should House Democrats choose someone else?

    Options: Jeffries should continue / House Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure

  18. Which approach would do more to make health care affordable and easy to get?

    Options in random order: Build or run more public clinics and hospitals to add care and competition / Help people pay for private care and leave clinics and hospitals to private and nonprofit groups / Not sure

  19. Do you support or oppose the government providing public clinics and hospitals in places that need more care?

    Options: Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure

  20. Cities could buy hospitals that private chains are closing and run them as public hospitals. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  21. The government could build public clinics in places that need more care. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  22. Public medical schools could train doctors for free if they work in places with shortages. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  23. Supporters say public clinics would add care, create more choice, and lower prices. How convincing is this argument?

    Options: Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure

  24. Critics say public clinics could waste tax money, lose doctors, and make waits longer. How convincing is this argument?

    Options: Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure

  25. After hearing both sides, do you support or oppose more public clinics and hospitals?

    Options: Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure

  26. What is your age?

    Options: 18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer

  27. What is your gender?

    Options: Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer

  28. When it comes to politics, how do you describe yourself?

    Options: Progressive / Very liberal / Somewhat liberal / Moderate / Somewhat conservative / Very conservative / Not sure

  29. What is the highest level of school you have completed?

    Options: Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer

  30. Are you or is anyone in your home a labor union member?

    Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer

  31. Are you Hispanic or Latino?

    Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer

  32. How would you describe your racial background?

    Options: White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer

  33. Do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or something else?

    Options: Democrat / Republican / Something else / Not sure

  34. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or not a very strong Democrat?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Democrat”

    Options: Strong Democrat / Not strong Democrat / Not sure

  35. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or not a very strong Republican?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Republican”

    Options: Strong Republican / Not strong Republican / Not sure

  36. As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Something else” or “Not sure”

    Options: Democratic / Republican / Neither or both equally / Not sure

Questionnaire in the order asked: RI-01 Providence 2026 Democratic Primary v1
  1. How likely are you to vote in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary election?

    Options: Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure

  2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Brett P. Smiley / David Morales / Someone else / Prefer not to answer

  3. If the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Brett P. Smiley / David Morales / Someone else / Undecided

  4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure

  5. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure

  6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure

  7. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure

  8. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure

  9. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure

  10. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure

  11. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure

  12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Gabe Amo is doing as a member of Congress?

    Options: Strongly approve / Somewhat approve / Somewhat disapprove / Strongly disapprove / Not sure

  13. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  14. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Ro Khanna?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  15. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Chuck Schumer?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  16. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Hakeem Jeffries?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  17. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee)?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  18. Thinking about the Democrats in the United States Senate, should Chuck Schumer continue as their leader, or should Senate Democrats choose someone else?

    Options: Schumer should continue / Senate Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure

  19. And thinking about the Democrats in the United States House of Representatives, should Hakeem Jeffries continue as their leader, or should House Democrats choose someone else?

    Options: Jeffries should continue / House Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure

  20. Which approach would do more to make health care affordable and easy to get?

    Options in random order: Build or run more public clinics and hospitals to add care and competition / Help people pay for private care and leave clinics and hospitals to private and nonprofit groups / Not sure

  21. Do you support or oppose the government providing public clinics and hospitals in places that need more care?

    Options: Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure

  22. Cities could buy hospitals that private chains are closing and run them as public hospitals. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  23. The government could build public clinics in places that need more care. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  24. Public medical schools could train doctors for free if they work in places with shortages. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  25. Supporters say public clinics would add care, create more choice, and lower prices. How convincing is this argument?

    Options: Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure

  26. Critics say public clinics could waste tax money, lose doctors, and make waits longer. How convincing is this argument?

    Options: Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure

  27. After hearing both sides, do you support or oppose more public clinics and hospitals?

    Options: Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure

  28. What is your age?

    Options: 18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer

  29. What is your gender?

    Options: Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer

  30. When it comes to politics, how do you describe yourself?

    Options: Progressive / Very liberal / Somewhat liberal / Moderate / Somewhat conservative / Very conservative / Not sure

  31. What is the highest level of school you have completed?

    Options: Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer

  32. Are you or is anyone in your home a labor union member?

    Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer

  33. Are you Hispanic or Latino?

    Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer

  34. How would you describe your racial background?

    Options: White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer

  35. Do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or something else?

    Options: Democrat / Republican / Something else / Not sure

  36. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or not a very strong Democrat?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Democrat”

    Options: Strong Democrat / Not strong Democrat / Not sure

  37. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or not a very strong Republican?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Republican”

    Options: Strong Republican / Not strong Republican / Not sure

  38. As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Something else” or “Not sure”

    Options: Democratic / Republican / Neither or both equally / Not sure

Questionnaire in the order asked: RI-02 2026 Democratic Primary — Outside Providence v1
  1. How likely are you to vote in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary election?

    Options: Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure

  2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure

  3. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure

  4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure

  5. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure

  6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure

  7. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure

  8. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure

  9. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure

  10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Seth Magaziner is doing as a member of Congress?

    Options: Strongly approve / Somewhat approve / Somewhat disapprove / Strongly disapprove / Not sure

  11. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  12. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Ro Khanna?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  13. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Chuck Schumer?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  14. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Hakeem Jeffries?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  15. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee)?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  16. Thinking about the Democrats in the United States Senate, should Chuck Schumer continue as their leader, or should Senate Democrats choose someone else?

    Options: Schumer should continue / Senate Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure

  17. And thinking about the Democrats in the United States House of Representatives, should Hakeem Jeffries continue as their leader, or should House Democrats choose someone else?

    Options: Jeffries should continue / House Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure

  18. Which approach would do more to make health care affordable and easy to get?

    Options in random order: Build or run more public clinics and hospitals to add care and competition / Help people pay for private care and leave clinics and hospitals to private and nonprofit groups / Not sure

  19. Do you support or oppose the government providing public clinics and hospitals in places that need more care?

    Options: Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure

  20. Cities could buy hospitals that private chains are closing and run them as public hospitals. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  21. The government could build public clinics in places that need more care. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  22. Public medical schools could train doctors for free if they work in places with shortages. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  23. Supporters say public clinics would add care, create more choice, and lower prices. How convincing is this argument?

    Options: Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure

  24. Critics say public clinics could waste tax money, lose doctors, and make waits longer. How convincing is this argument?

    Options: Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure

  25. After hearing both sides, do you support or oppose more public clinics and hospitals?

    Options: Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure

  26. What is your age?

    Options: 18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer

  27. What is your gender?

    Options: Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer

  28. When it comes to politics, how do you describe yourself?

    Options: Progressive / Very liberal / Somewhat liberal / Moderate / Somewhat conservative / Very conservative / Not sure

  29. What is the highest level of school you have completed?

    Options: Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer

  30. Are you or is anyone in your home a labor union member?

    Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer

  31. Are you Hispanic or Latino?

    Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer

  32. How would you describe your racial background?

    Options: White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer

  33. Do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or something else?

    Options: Democrat / Republican / Something else / Not sure

  34. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or not a very strong Democrat?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Democrat”

    Options: Strong Democrat / Not strong Democrat / Not sure

  35. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or not a very strong Republican?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Republican”

    Options: Strong Republican / Not strong Republican / Not sure

  36. As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Something else” or “Not sure”

    Options: Democratic / Republican / Neither or both equally / Not sure

Questionnaire in the order asked: RI-02 Providence 2026 Democratic Primary v1
  1. How likely are you to vote in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary election?

    Options: Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure

  2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Brett P. Smiley / David Morales / Someone else / Prefer not to answer

  3. If the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Brett P. Smiley / David Morales / Someone else / Undecided

  4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure

  5. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure

  6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure

  7. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure

  8. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure

  9. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure

  10. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”

    Options: Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure

  11. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”

    Options: Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure

  12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Seth Magaziner is doing as a member of Congress?

    Options: Strongly approve / Somewhat approve / Somewhat disapprove / Strongly disapprove / Not sure

  13. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  14. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Ro Khanna?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  15. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Chuck Schumer?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  16. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Hakeem Jeffries?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  17. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee)?

    Options: Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure

  18. Thinking about the Democrats in the United States Senate, should Chuck Schumer continue as their leader, or should Senate Democrats choose someone else?

    Options: Schumer should continue / Senate Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure

  19. And thinking about the Democrats in the United States House of Representatives, should Hakeem Jeffries continue as their leader, or should House Democrats choose someone else?

    Options: Jeffries should continue / House Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure

  20. Which approach would do more to make health care affordable and easy to get?

    Options in random order: Build or run more public clinics and hospitals to add care and competition / Help people pay for private care and leave clinics and hospitals to private and nonprofit groups / Not sure

  21. Do you support or oppose the government providing public clinics and hospitals in places that need more care?

    Options: Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure

  22. Cities could buy hospitals that private chains are closing and run them as public hospitals. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  23. The government could build public clinics in places that need more care. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  24. Public medical schools could train doctors for free if they work in places with shortages. Is this a good idea or a bad idea?

    Options: Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure

  25. Supporters say public clinics would add care, create more choice, and lower prices. How convincing is this argument?

    Options: Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure

  26. Critics say public clinics could waste tax money, lose doctors, and make waits longer. How convincing is this argument?

    Options: Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure

  27. After hearing both sides, do you support or oppose more public clinics and hospitals?

    Options: Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure

  28. What is your age?

    Options: 18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer

  29. What is your gender?

    Options: Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer

  30. When it comes to politics, how do you describe yourself?

    Options: Progressive / Very liberal / Somewhat liberal / Moderate / Somewhat conservative / Very conservative / Not sure

  31. What is the highest level of school you have completed?

    Options: Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer

  32. Are you or is anyone in your home a labor union member?

    Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer

  33. Are you Hispanic or Latino?

    Options: Yes / No / Prefer not to answer

  34. How would you describe your racial background?

    Options: White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer

  35. Do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or something else?

    Options: Democrat / Republican / Something else / Not sure

  36. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or not a very strong Democrat?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Democrat”

    Options: Strong Democrat / Not strong Democrat / Not sure

  37. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or not a very strong Republican?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Republican”

    Options: Strong Republican / Not strong Republican / Not sure

  38. As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party?

    Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Something else” or “Not sure”

    Options: Democratic / Republican / Neither or both equally / Not sure

Full disclosure as plain text

Sponsored by A Fight Worth Having (super PAC, FEC C00933085); conducted by RedBox Research, AFWH's polling unit. Population: Likely voters in the September 9, 2026 Rhode Island Democratic primary (RI). Sample frame: 677,535 voter-file records in universe "Rhode Island 2026 Democratic primary federal contact master — exact model frame" (State: RI; Party registration: democrat, no_party; Primary party: democrat; Primary type: semi_closed; Office: U.S. Senate and U.S. House Democratic primaries; Turnout model: trained_turnout_ri_dem_primary2022_forecast20260909); random draw of 746; 68,593 sent a text invitation. Sample frame: 104,247 voter-file records in universe "Providence 2026 Democratic mayoral primary — exact model frame" (State: RI; Party registration: democrat, no_party; Primary party: democrat; Primary type: semi_closed; Office: Mayor of Providence; Turnout model: trained_turnout_ri_dem_primary2022_forecast20260909); random draw of 392; 11,717 sent a text invitation. Sample frame: 677,535 voter-file records in universe "Rhode Island 2026 Democratic primary federal contact master — exact model frame" (State: RI; Party registration: democrat, no_party; Primary party: democrat; Primary type: semi_closed; Office: U.S. Senate and U.S. House Democratic primaries; Turnout model: trained_turnout_ri_dem_primary2022_forecast20260909); random draw of 836; 71,234 sent a text invitation. Sample frame: 104,247 voter-file records in universe "Providence 2026 Democratic mayoral primary — exact model frame" (State: RI; Party registration: democrat, no_party; Primary party: democrat; Primary type: semi_closed; Office: Mayor of Providence; Turnout model: trained_turnout_ri_dem_primary2022_forecast20260909); random draw of 330; 10,099 sent a text invitation. Modes: Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey. Languages: English. Interviews completed September 4, 2026 to September 9, 2026. n = 1,412 completed interviews; 161,643 sampled voters were sent a text invitation; margin of error ±3.3 percentage points at 95% confidence including a design effect of 1.58. Weighting: bounded raking (iterative proportional fitting within fixed weight limits) to party registration (democrat 61.5%, no_party 38.5%); gender (F 57.0%, M 42.7%, U 0.2%); age group (65+ 46.2%, 18-29 5.0%, 30-44 17.0%, 45-54 12.4%, 55-64 19.4%); congressional district (RI-01 48.2%, RI-02 51.8%); race and ethnicity (voter-file model) (api 2.6%, black 2.7%, other 2.6%, white 80.2%, hispanic 11.9%), from Model D weights completed interviews to a Rhode Island Democratic-primary electorate. L2 2018 Democratic-primary turnout supplies party registration, gender, and the Black and Hispanic shares. Census citizen voting-age benchmarks allocate L2 unclassified race records across the remaining race categories. The frozen Pollster turnout model supplies age and congressional-district shares. Respondent self-identification is used when answered, with voter-file or modeled values only as fallback when unanswered. All race and ethnicity targets total 100%. Post-election calibration correction: bounded raking fits the same target shares within the same weight bounds. Original pre-election Model D remains separately preserved; this reanalysis is not a pre-election forecast; base weights are the inverse of each sampled voter's recorded selection probability within the stratified draw; weights trimmed to 0.25-4.0. Processing: completed interviews only; partial interviews are excluded. Quality checks flagged 175 duplicate submissions. 143 estimate(s) reported, 9 withheld under the reporting rules. Limitations: The margin of error (3.3 points at 95% confidence, including the design effect) describes sampling error for a result near 50% among all respondents. Results for subgroups carry larger margins, and question wording, coverage and nonresponse can also affect results. The sponsor is a political committee (a super PAC). Readers should weigh results with that sponsorship in mind. Respondents could be reached only through a telephone number matched to their voter record; voters without a usable number were outside the sample frame. Respondents answered online; people unable or unwilling to complete a web survey are represented only through weighting. 53 respondent(s) had no recorded age group and were not adjusted on that variable. 117 respondent(s) had no recorded race and ethnicity (voter-file model) and were not adjusted on that variable. 9 estimate(s) did not meet the reporting rules (for example, too few respondents) and are withheld. Questions, in the order asked (RI-01 2026 Democratic Primary — Outside Providence, version 1): 1. How likely are you to vote in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary election? [Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure] 2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator? [John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 3. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote? [John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor? [Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 5. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? [Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor? [Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 7. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? [Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 8. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General? [Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 9. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote? [Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Gabe Amo is doing as a member of Congress? [Strongly approve / Somewhat approve / Somewhat disapprove / Strongly disapprove / Not sure] 11. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 12. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Ro Khanna? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 13. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Chuck Schumer? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 14. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Hakeem Jeffries? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 15. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee)? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 16. Thinking about the Democrats in the United States Senate, should Chuck Schumer continue as their leader, or should Senate Democrats choose someone else? [Schumer should continue / Senate Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure] 17. And thinking about the Democrats in the United States House of Representatives, should Hakeem Jeffries continue as their leader, or should House Democrats choose someone else? [Jeffries should continue / House Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure] 18. Which approach would do more to make health care affordable and easy to get? [Build or run more public clinics and hospitals to add care and competition / Help people pay for private care and leave clinics and hospitals to private and nonprofit groups / Not sure] 19. Do you support or oppose the government providing public clinics and hospitals in places that need more care? [Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure] 20. Cities could buy hospitals that private chains are closing and run them as public hospitals. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 21. The government could build public clinics in places that need more care. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 22. Public medical schools could train doctors for free if they work in places with shortages. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 23. Supporters say public clinics would add care, create more choice, and lower prices. How convincing is this argument? [Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure] 24. Critics say public clinics could waste tax money, lose doctors, and make waits longer. How convincing is this argument? [Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure] 25. After hearing both sides, do you support or oppose more public clinics and hospitals? [Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure] 26. What is your age? [18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer] 27. What is your gender? [Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer] 28. When it comes to politics, how do you describe yourself? [Progressive / Very liberal / Somewhat liberal / Moderate / Somewhat conservative / Very conservative / Not sure] 29. What is the highest level of school you have completed? [Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer] 30. Are you or is anyone in your home a labor union member? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 31. Are you Hispanic or Latino? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 32. How would you describe your racial background? [White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer] 33. Do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or something else? [Democrat / Republican / Something else / Not sure] 34. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or not a very strong Democrat? [Strong Democrat / Not strong Democrat / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Democrat”) 35. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or not a very strong Republican? [Strong Republican / Not strong Republican / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Republican”) 36. As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [Democratic / Republican / Neither or both equally / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Something else” or “Not sure”) Questions, in the order asked (RI-01 Providence 2026 Democratic Primary, version 1): 1. How likely are you to vote in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary election? [Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure] 2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence? [Brett P. Smiley / David Morales / Someone else / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 3. If the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence were held today, for whom would you vote? [Brett P. Smiley / David Morales / Someone else / Undecided] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator? [John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 5. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote? [John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor? [Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 7. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? [Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 8. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor? [Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 9. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? [Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 10. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General? [Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 11. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote? [Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Gabe Amo is doing as a member of Congress? [Strongly approve / Somewhat approve / Somewhat disapprove / Strongly disapprove / Not sure] 13. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 14. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Ro Khanna? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 15. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Chuck Schumer? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 16. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Hakeem Jeffries? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 17. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee)? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 18. Thinking about the Democrats in the United States Senate, should Chuck Schumer continue as their leader, or should Senate Democrats choose someone else? [Schumer should continue / Senate Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure] 19. And thinking about the Democrats in the United States House of Representatives, should Hakeem Jeffries continue as their leader, or should House Democrats choose someone else? [Jeffries should continue / House Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure] 20. Which approach would do more to make health care affordable and easy to get? [Build or run more public clinics and hospitals to add care and competition / Help people pay for private care and leave clinics and hospitals to private and nonprofit groups / Not sure] 21. Do you support or oppose the government providing public clinics and hospitals in places that need more care? [Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure] 22. Cities could buy hospitals that private chains are closing and run them as public hospitals. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 23. The government could build public clinics in places that need more care. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 24. Public medical schools could train doctors for free if they work in places with shortages. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 25. Supporters say public clinics would add care, create more choice, and lower prices. How convincing is this argument? [Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure] 26. Critics say public clinics could waste tax money, lose doctors, and make waits longer. How convincing is this argument? [Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure] 27. After hearing both sides, do you support or oppose more public clinics and hospitals? [Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure] 28. What is your age? [18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer] 29. What is your gender? [Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer] 30. When it comes to politics, how do you describe yourself? [Progressive / Very liberal / Somewhat liberal / Moderate / Somewhat conservative / Very conservative / Not sure] 31. What is the highest level of school you have completed? [Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer] 32. Are you or is anyone in your home a labor union member? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 33. Are you Hispanic or Latino? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 34. How would you describe your racial background? [White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer] 35. Do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or something else? [Democrat / Republican / Something else / Not sure] 36. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or not a very strong Democrat? [Strong Democrat / Not strong Democrat / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Democrat”) 37. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or not a very strong Republican? [Strong Republican / Not strong Republican / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Republican”) 38. As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [Democratic / Republican / Neither or both equally / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Something else” or “Not sure”) Questions, in the order asked (RI-02 2026 Democratic Primary — Outside Providence, version 1): 1. How likely are you to vote in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary election? [Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure] 2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator? [John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 3. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote? [John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor? [Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 5. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? [Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor? [Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 7. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? [Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 8. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General? [Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 9. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote? [Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Seth Magaziner is doing as a member of Congress? [Strongly approve / Somewhat approve / Somewhat disapprove / Strongly disapprove / Not sure] 11. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 12. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Ro Khanna? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 13. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Chuck Schumer? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 14. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Hakeem Jeffries? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 15. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee)? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 16. Thinking about the Democrats in the United States Senate, should Chuck Schumer continue as their leader, or should Senate Democrats choose someone else? [Schumer should continue / Senate Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure] 17. And thinking about the Democrats in the United States House of Representatives, should Hakeem Jeffries continue as their leader, or should House Democrats choose someone else? [Jeffries should continue / House Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure] 18. Which approach would do more to make health care affordable and easy to get? [Build or run more public clinics and hospitals to add care and competition / Help people pay for private care and leave clinics and hospitals to private and nonprofit groups / Not sure] 19. Do you support or oppose the government providing public clinics and hospitals in places that need more care? [Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure] 20. Cities could buy hospitals that private chains are closing and run them as public hospitals. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 21. The government could build public clinics in places that need more care. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 22. Public medical schools could train doctors for free if they work in places with shortages. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 23. Supporters say public clinics would add care, create more choice, and lower prices. How convincing is this argument? [Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure] 24. Critics say public clinics could waste tax money, lose doctors, and make waits longer. How convincing is this argument? [Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure] 25. After hearing both sides, do you support or oppose more public clinics and hospitals? [Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure] 26. What is your age? [18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer] 27. What is your gender? [Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer] 28. When it comes to politics, how do you describe yourself? [Progressive / Very liberal / Somewhat liberal / Moderate / Somewhat conservative / Very conservative / Not sure] 29. What is the highest level of school you have completed? [Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer] 30. Are you or is anyone in your home a labor union member? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 31. Are you Hispanic or Latino? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 32. How would you describe your racial background? [White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer] 33. Do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or something else? [Democrat / Republican / Something else / Not sure] 34. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or not a very strong Democrat? [Strong Democrat / Not strong Democrat / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Democrat”) 35. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or not a very strong Republican? [Strong Republican / Not strong Republican / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Republican”) 36. As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [Democratic / Republican / Neither or both equally / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q33 “Something else” or “Not sure”) Questions, in the order asked (RI-02 Providence 2026 Democratic Primary, version 1): 1. How likely are you to vote in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary election? [Already voted / Extremely likely / Very likely / Somewhat likely / Somewhat unlikely / Very unlikely / Extremely unlikely / Not sure] 2. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence? [Brett P. Smiley / David Morales / Someone else / Prefer not to answer] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 3. If the Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence were held today, for whom would you vote? [Brett P. Smiley / David Morales / Someone else / Undecided] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 4. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator? [John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 5. If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senator were held today, for whom would you vote? [John F. Reed / Connor F. Burbridge / Luis Daniel Muñoz / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 6. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor? [Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 7. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? [Daniel J. McKee / Helena Buonanno Foulkes / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 8. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor? [Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 9. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? [Sabina Matos / Susan Anderbois / Ross McCurdy / Cynthia Armour Coyne / Xaykham Rexford Khamsyvoravong / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 10. For whom did you vote in the Democratic primary for Attorney General? [Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Already voted”) 11. If the Democratic primary for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote? [Jason P. Knight / Joseph J. Solomon / Keith Hoffmann / Kimberly Ahern / Someone else / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q1 “Extremely likely” or “Very likely”) 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Seth Magaziner is doing as a member of Congress? [Strongly approve / Somewhat approve / Somewhat disapprove / Strongly disapprove / Not sure] 13. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 14. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Ro Khanna? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 15. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Chuck Schumer? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 16. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: Hakeem Jeffries? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 17. Please indicate if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or strongly unfavorable opinion of each of the following: AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee)? [Strongly favorable / Somewhat favorable / Somewhat unfavorable / Strongly unfavorable / Not sure] 18. Thinking about the Democrats in the United States Senate, should Chuck Schumer continue as their leader, or should Senate Democrats choose someone else? [Schumer should continue / Senate Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure] 19. And thinking about the Democrats in the United States House of Representatives, should Hakeem Jeffries continue as their leader, or should House Democrats choose someone else? [Jeffries should continue / House Democrats should choose someone else / Not sure] 20. Which approach would do more to make health care affordable and easy to get? [Build or run more public clinics and hospitals to add care and competition / Help people pay for private care and leave clinics and hospitals to private and nonprofit groups / Not sure] 21. Do you support or oppose the government providing public clinics and hospitals in places that need more care? [Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure] 22. Cities could buy hospitals that private chains are closing and run them as public hospitals. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 23. The government could build public clinics in places that need more care. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 24. Public medical schools could train doctors for free if they work in places with shortages. Is this a good idea or a bad idea? [Very good idea / Somewhat good idea / Somewhat bad idea / Very bad idea / Not sure] 25. Supporters say public clinics would add care, create more choice, and lower prices. How convincing is this argument? [Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure] 26. Critics say public clinics could waste tax money, lose doctors, and make waits longer. How convincing is this argument? [Very convincing / Somewhat convincing / Not too convincing / Not convincing at all / Not sure] 27. After hearing both sides, do you support or oppose more public clinics and hospitals? [Strongly support / Somewhat support / Somewhat oppose / Strongly oppose / Not sure] 28. What is your age? [18 to 29 / 30 to 44 / 45 to 54 / 55 to 64 / 65 or older / Prefer not to answer] 29. What is your gender? [Male / Female / Nonbinary or another gender / Prefer not to answer] 30. When it comes to politics, how do you describe yourself? [Progressive / Very liberal / Somewhat liberal / Moderate / Somewhat conservative / Very conservative / Not sure] 31. What is the highest level of school you have completed? [Less than high school / High school graduate / Some college / Vocational or trade school / College graduate / Postgraduate degree / Prefer not to answer] 32. Are you or is anyone in your home a labor union member? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 33. Are you Hispanic or Latino? [Yes / No / Prefer not to answer] 34. How would you describe your racial background? [White / Black or African American / Asian or Pacific Islander / Native American or Indigenous / Middle Eastern or North African / Other or multiracial / Prefer not to answer] 35. Do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or something else? [Democrat / Republican / Something else / Not sure] 36. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or not a very strong Democrat? [Strong Democrat / Not strong Democrat / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Democrat”) 37. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or not a very strong Republican? [Strong Republican / Not strong Republican / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Republican”) 38. As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [Democratic / Republican / Neither or both equally / Not sure] (Asked only of respondents who answered Q35 “Something else” or “Not sure”)

sha256 1bf88b4bb35844dcb0e742935c555741db38c1c14389604636f2f95269020311

Response rates (AAPOR Standard Definitions)
Response rate 1 (RR1)
0.5%
Response rate 3 (RR3)
0.5%
Cooperation rate 1 (COOP1)
10.6%
Refusal rate 1 (REF1)
4.4%
Contact rate 1 (CON1)
4.9%

e = 1.0000: proportional allocation (the default of AAPOR Survey Outcome Rate Calculator 5.1 (2023), List Samples sheet) over the 13,308 cases whose eligibility was settled by contact (13,308 eligible, 0 screened out). Duplicate listings are left out because the frame check removed them from every drawn case. The questionnaire has no eligibility screener, and the Standard Definitions treat an unreached named-list case as eligible when none is required.

Final dispositions of the 271,405 voters drawn
AAPOR codeDispositionCases
1.1Complete interview1,412
2.1121Opened the survey, answered no question2
2.1133Replied STOP to the invitation8,602
2.12Break-off: opened the survey and stopped before completing it3,292
3.20Invitation delivered, no response128,480
3.219Invitation not delivered1,962
3.23No invitation sent (no textable number, or the number was suppressed)109,762
3.9Invitation sent, no delivery status returned17,893
RR1 by sample frame
Sample frameDrawnCompletesRR1
RI-01 2026 Democratic Primary — outside Providence115,1696060.5%
RI-02 2026 Democratic Primary — outside Providence122,3766090.5%
RI-01 + Providence Mayor 2026 Democratic Primary18,3481060.6%
RI-02 + Providence Mayor 2026 Democratic Primary15,512910.6%
RR1 by race (voter file)
Race (voter file)DrawnCompletesRR1
Unknown74,4233380.5%
Asian American or Pacific Islander15700.0%
Black39400.0%
Hispanic16,371550.3%
White180,0601,0190.6%
RR1 by file party
File partyDrawnCompletesRR1
Unknown116,0756230.5%
Democrat64,0934360.7%
No Party91,2373530.4%
RR1 by age band
Age bandDrawnCompletesRR1
18-247,079140.2%
25-3426,113610.2%
35-4440,1151210.3%
45-5437,4831630.4%
55-6452,5022650.5%
65+108,1137880.7%

Rates use the formulas of the AAPOR Survey Outcome Rate Calculator 5.1 (2023), List Samples sheet; RR1 counts every drawn voter except duplicate listings.

Weighting appendix: trimming and the shadow estimate

Weight trimming

Bounds: 0.25 to 4.0 (weight relative to a mean base weight of 1).

Weights trimmed: 100 (strategy: each_iteration).

Design effect before trimming: not recorded. This weighting run predates the trimming report, and its untrimmed weights have not been reproduced from storage.

Design effect after trimming: 1.575.

Data-defect shadow arm (pollster.shadow-arm.ddc.v1; a pre-registered shadow estimate, not the headline)

Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the data-defect spec covers only general and special elections.

A + recall shadow arm (pollster.shadow-arm.a-plus-recall.v1; a pre-registered shadow estimate, not the headline)

Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the A + recall spec covers only general and special elections.

A + education shadow arm (pollster.shadow-arm.a-plus-education.v1; a pre-registered shadow estimate, not the headline)

Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the A + education spec covers only general and special elections.

A + post-ballot partials shadow arm (pollster.shadow-arm.a-plus-partials.v1; a pre-registered shadow estimate, not the headline)

Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the A + post-ballot partials spec covers only general and special elections.

LV fitted shadow arm (pollster.shadow-arm.lv-fitted.v1; a pre-registered shadow estimate, not the headline)

Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the LV fitted spec covers only general and special elections.

A + covariate undecided allocation shadow arm (pollster.shadow-arm.undecided-covariate.v1; a pre-registered shadow estimate, not the headline)

Status: not applicable. This is a dem_primary election; the A + covariate undecided allocation spec covers only general and special elections.

Turnout level scenarios (carried beside the estimates; not the headline, no weight changes)

Status: not recorded. This weighting run stores no turnout scenarios; they are recorded on November 3, 2026 general and special polls weighted from 2026-10-05.

AAPOR disclosure: further items
Data collection strategy (AAPOR A1)
A survey of Likely voters in the September 9, 2026 Rhode Island Democratic primary. Collection: Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey.
Wording shown before the questions (AAPOR A3)

Invitation text (wave 1), 83,100 sent: "Hi {first_name}, As a {locality} voter, share your views in a RedBox Research survey (about {survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 9,595 sent: "Hi {first_name}, RedBox Research is polling {locality} voters about the {election_name}. Share your opinion ({survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 9,418 sent: "Hi {first_name}, We are looking for insight from {community} voters. Take a {survey_minutes} MIN RedBox Research poll: {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 9,169 sent: "Hi {first_name}, As a {locality} voter, share your views in a Red Box Research survey (about {survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 9,099 sent: "Hi {first_name}, Red Box Research invites you to share your views in our voter survey (about {survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 9,069 sent: "Hi {first_name}, Help represent voters like you in a Red Box Research voter survey (about {survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 9,051 sent: "Hi {first_name}, Share your views on the {election_name} in a Red Box Research survey (about {survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 9,023 sent: "Hi {first_name}, Red Box Research voter survey ({survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} STOP to end. HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 8,974 sent: "Hi {first_name}, Make your voice heard in a Red Box Research voter survey (about {survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Invitation text (wave 1), 5,145 sent: "Hi {first_name}, A political text that does not want your money. RedBox Research just wants your opinion ({survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Reminder text (wave 2), 6,754 sent: "Hi {first_name}, As a {locality} voter, share your views in a RedBox Research survey (about {survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Reminder text (wave 3), 187 sent: "Hi {first_name}, As a {locality} voter, share your views in a RedBox Research survey (about {survey_minutes} MIN): {survey_url} Reply STOP to end; HELP for help."

Reminder texts (wave 2), 11,370 sent from 5 templates whose wording is not stored with the poll.

Words in braces were filled in for each recipient when the text was sent.

Introduction: the frozen questionnaire has no welcome screen, so the survey opened on its first question.

The survey was self-administered on the web: there was no interviewer or AI script.

Sample type (AAPOR A5a)
A probability sample: every voter was drawn at random, with a recorded seed, from the voter-file universe named in the disclosure. No response was generated by AI (no synthetic respondents were used).
Sample frame and its date (AAPOR A5b)
Voters were drawn from the AFWH voter file, built from the Rhode Island official state voter registration file dated July 8, 2026 (received July 8, 2026), for 271,405 drawn voters.
Coverage (AAPOR A5c)
161,643 of the 271,405 drawn voters (59.6%) had a textable number and were sent an invitation; the other 109,762 could not be reached by text and are counted as not attempted (AAPOR 3.23).
Quotas (AAPOR A5e)
Sample draws were sized to 316 target cells. No interview was stopped or screened out because a cell was full (no case carries a quota-full or screen-out disposition).
Incentives and contact (AAPOR A5i)
No incentive was offered. Contact: an invitation text and up to 2 reminder texts.
Interviews by frame and mode (AAPOR A8a)
Completed interviews by frame: RI-01 2026 Democratic Primary — outside Providence 606; RI-02 2026 Democratic Primary — outside Providence 609; RI-01 + Providence Mayor 2026 Democratic Primary 106; RI-02 + Providence Mayor 2026 Democratic Primary 91. By mode: web 1,412.
Margin of error (AAPOR A8c)
The margin of error is shown because the sample was drawn at random; with a low response rate it holds only as far as weighting corrects nonresponse, which is why leads are judged against the total-error band below.
Quality checks (AAPOR A10)
Each invited voter received a unique survey link; a link yields at most one interview. Quality flags recorded: 175 duplicate submissions. Flags are measured, not used to drop cases: all 1,412 interviews completed by the status date are in the weighted estimates.
Total error (AAPOR A11)
Sampling error is not the only error: published primary-election polls have missed the final margin by an average absolute error of 9.0 points, so a lead is called only when it exceeds a 90% total-error band that adds that non-sampling error to sampling error. For two candidates near 50%, the band is ±19.3 points on the lead, against a sampling-only 95% margin of ±6.5 points.
AI use (AAPOR A12)
AI in data collection: none; no AI interviewer or chatbot was used (Text message invitation to a self-administered web survey). AI in processing: no language model coded, weighted or wrote any published result; every published number and sentence is produced by deterministic code from the recorded responses.
Panel (AAPOR B1)
No panel: respondents were drawn fresh from the voter file for this poll.
Dispositions (AAPOR B5)
Final dispositions and AAPOR outcome rates are listed above: RR1 0.5%, RR3 0.5% (e = 1.0000).
How leads are called

Total-error band for this release: primary. E3X I2: AAPOR state presidential MAE 5.1 (2016, 2020); AAPOR 2018 state polls 4.64; primaries 9 (Silver). sd = MAE*sqrt(pi/2).

Release information

Rhode Island 2026 Democratic Primary Poll — September 14 Post-Election Reanalysis

Version 1 · Published Sep 14, 2026

Release: f56888ef-50a5-40f0-8af1-ad89edb85f39

Source checksum: 948c23bd9d1a0fc6ca2bbce1c68ed9332f5fb3d85ca46b047e9afcb42b6493ca

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