{ "description": "Party-target x 2024-recall sensitivity grid summary (FL 2026 final poll and the Oct 20-23 rework). Read-only.", "scopes": { "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605": "this week's poll" }, "pre_ed_rule": { "fetch_party_share_pct": { "R": 40.536, "D": 38.076, "NPA": 18.852, "minor": 2.536 }, "n_already_voted_on_file": 2143, "house_read_stored_weights": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 53.900112405046166, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 54.6835981475558 } }, "checks": { "scope1_answers_mismatch_vs_anchor_profile": { "senate": 0, "governor": 0 }, "reads": { "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605@2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00": 2898, "57c2022b-acee-438a-8c24-432cf0350c82@2026-11-01T04:00:29.373800+00:00": 4823 } }, "results": [ { "label": "recall-misreport-adjusted", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_recall", "weights_path": "recall-misreport-adjusted.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "73743f58c402cba202a251f9f603ca1576586314e84dc73e2e4319919ea91e41", "receipt_path": "recall-misreport-adjusted.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "v32", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.04, "other": 2.169, "democrat": 32.815, "no_party": 19.012, "republican": 45.618, "libertarian": 0.202, "conservative": 0.144 }, "recall_tag": "44.68 certified+misreport", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.67719953561153, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.44255, "rep": 0.548, "oth": 0.00945 }, "recall_source": "Certified FL 2024 shares adjusted by Morris (Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026) measured recall drift: 3.2% of Trump voters now say Harris, 1.4% of Harris voters say Trump; renormalized over named candidates", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.24587779159037337, "senate": { "dem_pct": 45.09545114039252, "rep_pct": 47.52505637544311, "undecided_pct": 1.591299995251675, "d_minus_r_pts": -2.4296052350505875, "receipt_margin_pts": -2.4296052350505875, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1236175487555644, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -2.6231828136281132, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.62050751583529, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.9895196601282805e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 46.093077492850995, "rep_pct": 47.09166783955223, "undecided_pct": 1.3676119141772836, "d_minus_r_pts": -0.9985903467012349, "receipt_margin_pts": -0.9985903467012349, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1236175487555644, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -1.0716242697654847, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.18474533240287, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 2.0605739337042905e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 54.69705628864549, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 55.48504333149464 } }, { "label": "recall-records-42.72", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_recall", "weights_path": "recall-records-42.72.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "92f1d41e6a9177390ed8509126f5c88a64f3ddfb5d8630b7394365543764cced", "receipt_path": "recall-records-42.72.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "v32", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.04, "other": 2.169, "democrat": 32.815, "no_party": 19.012, "republican": 45.618, "libertarian": 0.202, "conservative": 0.144 }, "recall_tag": "42.72 records", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 42.7203084469655, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.42326, "rep": 0.56751, "oth": 0.00923 }, "recall_source": "Records-based estimate of FL 2024 Harris two-party share 0.4272, with the certified other share 0.00923 kept: dem = 0.4272 x (1 - 0.00923), rep = 0.5728 x (1 - 0.00923), to 5 decimals", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.1484766250677536, "senate": { "dem_pct": 43.90394377862446, "rep_pct": 48.68406628170414, "undecided_pct": 1.6275985403136548, "d_minus_r_pts": -4.7801225030796815, "receipt_margin_pts": -4.7801225030796815, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.140301110445052, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -5.162787816657024, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.58801006032876, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.5631940186722204e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 44.875839378759636, "rep_pct": 48.247354808138404, "undecided_pct": 1.4017508546925401, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.3715154293787677, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.3715154293787677, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.140301110445052, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -3.6204894589550536, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.12319418689819, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.3500311979441904e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 53.49146024979792, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 54.27057573923404 } }, { "label": "recall-records-plus-misreport", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_recall", "weights_path": "recall-records-plus-misreport.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "1790a1e7342f1057d2b2005aee50e9c7430ef440a31c587d47fbea18f958d0d7", "receipt_path": "recall-records-plus-misreport.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "v32", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.04, "other": 2.169, "democrat": 32.815, "no_party": 19.012, "republican": 45.618, "libertarian": 0.202, "conservative": 0.144 }, "recall_tag": "44.04 records+misreport", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.04094860223521, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.43623, "rep": 0.55428, "oth": 0.00949 }, "recall_source": "Records-based 2024 vote of this year's projected electorate with a 2024 record (Harris 42.72% two-party; recall_anchor_admin_test_20261101.json) converted to expected recalled shares with Morris (Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026) measured drift: 3.2% Trump->Harris, 1.4% Harris->Trump; renormalized over named candidates", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.12821683772148607, "senate": { "dem_pct": 44.707513059655014, "rep_pct": 47.90276805394719, "undecided_pct": 1.6028176791493087, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.1952549942921777, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.1952549942921777, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1283411323701706, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -3.4502162782257795, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.6102811136025, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.4210854715202004e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 45.69618889371982, "rep_pct": 47.46723989990038, "undecided_pct": 1.3785823515660343, "d_minus_r_pts": -1.7710510061805564, "receipt_margin_pts": -1.7710510061805564, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1283411323701706, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -1.9010152686671427, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.16342879362048, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.4921397450962104e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 54.304700941105246, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 55.090081142503045 } }, { "label": "repro-v32", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_recall", "weights_path": "repro-v32.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "8f9efd1da6912f8ff97c1bee0d13e5843500c7b2ddefc99ec776f6e26969b02a", "receipt_path": "repro-v32.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "v32", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.04, "other": 2.169, "democrat": 32.815, "no_party": 19.012, "republican": 45.618, "libertarian": 0.202, "conservative": 0.144 }, "recall_tag": "43.39 certified", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 43.3889305665077, "recall_shares_supplied": null, "recall_source": null, "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": [], "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.0, "senate": { "dem_pct": 44.30901350485817, "rep_pct": 48.292346757080736, "undecided_pct": 1.61421425096188, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.9833332522225646, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.9833332522225646, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.134118963304036, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -4.301592591032159, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.60136026193862, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.5631940186722204e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 45.29029988576628, "rep_pct": 47.85541535013245, "undecided_pct": 1.3893881300271165, "d_minus_r_pts": -2.5651154643661727, "receipt_margin_pts": -2.5651154643661727, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.134118963304036, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -2.753873817888231, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.14571523589844, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.5631940186722204e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 53.900112405046166, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 54.6835981475558 } }, { "label": "s1-b1-consistent-e1-recall41.19", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-b1-consistent-e1-recall41.19.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "d00a144609e7468b01309c7636fc3b72e1e337d74ce0b1092e134b52ac212a88", "receipt_path": "s1-b1-consistent-e1-recall41.19.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "B1", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.047, "other": 2.541, "democrat": 31.234, "no_party": 18.173, "republican": 47.6, "libertarian": 0.237, "conservative": 0.169 }, "recall_tag": null, "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 42.5845949616337, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.4218066316541619, "rep": 0.568707971183286, "oth": 0.00948539716255215 }, "recall_source": "Records-consistent with the B1 party target: 2024 Harris two-party share 41.193% of the projected final electorate (remainder method (a), pool of 2024 voters not yet voted, B1 total, 2024-record weighted; code/recall_consistent_targets.py, recall_consistent_targets_20261101.json) converted to expected recalled shares with the E1 misreport transform (Morris, Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026: Harris 0.96/0.014, Trump 0.032/0.94), certified other 0.00923 kept, renormalized", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.5260210496815478, "senate": { "dem_pct": 43.36093636715384, "rep_pct": 49.23913043635834, "undecided_pct": 1.6107021063717561, "d_minus_r_pts": -5.878194069204497, "receipt_margin_pts": -5.878194069204497, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.133745844402294, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -6.3479371798699225, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.60006680351188, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.5631940186722204e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 44.31706375544563, "rep_pct": 48.814087181992214, "undecided_pct": 1.3809902561380913, "d_minus_r_pts": -4.497023426546583, "receipt_margin_pts": -4.497023426546583, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.133745844402294, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -4.828699507394197, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.13115093743751, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.6342482922482304e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 54.43084860821011, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 55.18581764252863 } }, { "label": "s1-b1-consistent-records-recall41.19", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-b1-consistent-records-recall41.19.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "72b369ac090af1a98380f1696b3384303bd6c8637ecfcd1f299643c11c29c14d", "receipt_path": "s1-b1-consistent-records-recall41.19.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "B1", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.047, "other": 2.541, "democrat": 31.234, "no_party": 18.173, "republican": 47.6, "libertarian": 0.237, "conservative": 0.169 }, "recall_tag": null, "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 41.19322223749021, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.4081300879623818, "rep": 0.5826399120376182, "oth": 0.00923 }, "recall_source": "Records-consistent with the B1 party target: 2024 Harris two-party share 41.193% of the projected final electorate (remainder method (a), pool of 2024 voters not yet voted, B1 total, 2024-record weighted; code/recall_consistent_targets.py, recall_consistent_targets_20261101.json), the certified other share 0.00923 kept: dem = h x (1 - 0.00923), rep = (1 - h) x (1 - 0.00923); no misreport transform", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.5125029516729995, "senate": { "dem_pct": 42.509202938420835, "rep_pct": 50.06870814626468, "undecided_pct": 1.6361559532838958, "d_minus_r_pts": -7.5595052078438485, "receipt_margin_pts": -7.5595052078438485, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.14646644175277, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -8.165560358052156, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.57791108468585, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.7763568394002505e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 43.44799702961452, "rep_pct": 49.64122226905261, "undecided_pct": 1.4054317086054837, "d_minus_r_pts": -6.1932252394380924, "receipt_margin_pts": -6.1932252394380924, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.14646644175277, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -6.652999440856571, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.08921929866742, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.4210854715202004e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 53.56710197964528, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 54.31792396537842 } }, { "label": "s1-b1-recall42.72-records", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-b1-recall42.72-records.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "a11898079ad4c983a0ae7a411526015448cd10e14c910fdf4f0edc9789d9c9a9", "receipt_path": "s1-b1-recall42.72-records.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "B1", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.047, "other": 2.541, "democrat": 31.234, "no_party": 18.173, "republican": 47.6, "libertarian": 0.237, "conservative": 0.169 }, "recall_tag": "42.72 records", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 42.7203084469655, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.42326, "rep": 0.56751, "oth": 0.00923 }, "recall_source": "Records-based estimate of FL 2024 Harris two-party share 0.4272, with the certified other share 0.00923 kept: dem = 0.4272 x (1 - 0.00923), rep = 0.5728 x (1 - 0.00923), to 5 decimals", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.5334288491348702, "senate": { "dem_pct": 43.440425949054976, "rep_pct": 49.16408268024265, "undecided_pct": 1.6078940293824895, "d_minus_r_pts": -5.723656731187674, "receipt_margin_pts": -5.723656731187674, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1330265730687152, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -6.180753848713624, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.60450862929744, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.1368683772161603e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 44.39914176057862, "rep_pct": 48.73977408026021, "undecided_pct": 1.3784081758541071, "d_minus_r_pts": -4.340632319681589, "receipt_margin_pts": -4.340632319681589, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1330265730687152, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -4.6603852755802775, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.1389158408386, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.4210854715202004e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 54.5096045943659, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 55.2654101544526 } }, { "label": "s1-b1-recall43.39-certified", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-b1-recall43.39-certified.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "0bfc7e59aa581d1ba75f7a91b00f23aca20083bc85820b9e75cbbfef9792fe92", "receipt_path": "s1-b1-recall43.39-certified.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "B1", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.047, "other": 2.541, "democrat": 31.234, "no_party": 18.173, "republican": 47.6, "libertarian": 0.237, "conservative": 0.169 }, "recall_tag": "43.39 certified", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 43.3889305665077, "recall_shares_supplied": null, "recall_source": null, "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.5652731944179705, "senate": { "dem_pct": 43.851012843240255, "rep_pct": 48.763090764412716, "undecided_pct": 1.596314346669068, "d_minus_r_pts": -4.912077921172461, "receipt_margin_pts": -4.912077921172461, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1280853928534316, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -5.3038119787692395, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.61410360765316, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 9.947598300641403e-14 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 44.81839695439954, "rep_pct": 48.34113843680509, "undecided_pct": 1.3669031689405688, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.52274148240555, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.52274148240555, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1280853928534316, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -3.7814073112456765, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.1595353912048, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 9.947598300641403e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 54.92434594722412, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 55.681705223600844 } }, { "label": "s1-b1-recall44.04-records-misreport", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-b1-recall44.04-records-misreport.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "8235faaa39008c619a198277f22a44a44ebe3a26882545e86976b15dec9392e5", "receipt_path": "s1-b1-recall44.04-records-misreport.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "B1", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.047, "other": 2.541, "democrat": 31.234, "no_party": 18.173, "republican": 47.6, "libertarian": 0.237, "conservative": 0.169 }, "recall_tag": "44.04 records+misreport", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.04094860223521, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.43623, "rep": 0.55428, "oth": 0.00949 }, "recall_source": "Records-based 2024 vote of this year's projected electorate with a 2024 record (Harris 42.72% two-party; recall_anchor_admin_test_20261101.json) converted to expected recalled shares with Morris (Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026) measured drift: 3.2% Trump->Harris, 1.4% Harris->Trump; renormalized over named candidates", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.5941224253356352, "senate": { "dem_pct": 44.25345911259463, "rep_pct": 48.36712142706021, "undecided_pct": 1.5857962973323172, "d_minus_r_pts": -4.113662314465579, "receipt_margin_pts": -4.113662314465579, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.123667425153078, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -4.441412794540214, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.62058053965508, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.5631940186722204e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 45.2289376242576, "rep_pct": 47.94712187611852, "undecided_pct": 1.3560439079107005, "d_minus_r_pts": -2.718184251860926, "receipt_margin_pts": -2.718184251860926, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.123667425153078, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -2.9172560703213954, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.17605950037635, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.4921397450962104e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 55.331189817311426, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 56.08991890559593 } }, { "label": "s1-b1-recall44.68-certified-misreport", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-b1-recall44.68-certified-misreport.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "bfb7f1305b1be621548a734255a01ba7b6a5584f7474dee1a702407f79a36ae9", "receipt_path": "s1-b1-recall44.68-certified-misreport.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "B1", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.047, "other": 2.541, "democrat": 31.234, "no_party": 18.173, "republican": 47.6, "libertarian": 0.237, "conservative": 0.169 }, "recall_tag": "44.68 certified+misreport", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.67719953561153, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.44255, "rep": 0.548, "oth": 0.00945 }, "recall_source": "Certified FL 2024 shares adjusted by Morris (Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026) measured recall drift: 3.2% of Trump voters now say Harris, 1.4% of Harris voters say Trump; renormalized over named candidates", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.6655850203858629, "senate": { "dem_pct": 44.64368404330257, "rep_pct": 47.985565378096815, "undecided_pct": 1.5749479539812408, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.3418813347942447, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.3418813347942447, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1204021467962324, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -3.6078035347030344, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.62924942139942, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 7.815970093361102e-14 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 45.62810421576577, "rep_pct": 47.56760339275832, "undecided_pct": 1.3448558712527625, "d_minus_r_pts": -1.9394991769925554, "receipt_margin_pts": -1.9394991769925554, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1204021467962324, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -2.0811035473216144, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.19570760852412, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 6.394884621840902e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 55.7222949491144, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 56.48324678178795 } }, { "label": "s1-p0-consistent-e1-recall44.24", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-p0-consistent-e1-recall44.24.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "aecbd1e747a0d91b90dd9c540124b7274a0ff47f8574e196d1a816ec15b66277", "receipt_path": "s1-p0-consistent-e1-recall44.24.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "P0", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.033, "other": 1.796, "democrat": 34.397, "no_party": 19.851, "republican": 43.636, "libertarian": 0.167, "conservative": 0.12 }, "recall_tag": null, "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 45.48624250446448, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.4505481417877772, "rep": 0.5399670491373818, "oth": 0.009484809074841017 }, "recall_source": "Records-consistent with the P0 party target: 2024 Harris two-party share 44.238% of the projected final electorate (remainder method (a), pool of 2024 voters not yet voted, P0 total, 2024-record weighted; code/recall_consistent_targets.py, recall_consistent_targets_20261101.json) converted to expected recalled shares with the E1 misreport transform (Morris, Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026: Harris 0.96/0.014, Trump 0.032/0.94), certified other 0.00923 kept, renormalized", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.4358182749658399, "senate": { "dem_pct": 46.05865208042852, "rep_pct": 46.56151408659828, "undecided_pct": 1.5947604696251105, "d_minus_r_pts": -0.5028620061697566, "receipt_margin_pts": -0.5028620061697566, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1281616763091424, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -0.5429292852518364, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.62016616702681, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 3.552713678800501e-14 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 47.077700106980785, "rep_pct": 46.11883045844303, "undecided_pct": 1.37592259663558, "d_minus_r_pts": 0.9588696485377568, "receipt_margin_pts": 0.9588696485377568, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1281616763091424, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": 1.0288683953365576, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.19653056542383, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 4.263256414560601e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 54.18151940005832, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 54.99331176514687 } }, { "label": "s1-p0-consistent-records-recall44.24", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-p0-consistent-records-recall44.24.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "f3b28dac43e87c9feaed041019e244168f0806357f2562e1c4a1da1dfdd947f6", "receipt_path": "s1-p0-consistent-records-recall44.24.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "P0", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.033, "other": 1.796, "democrat": 34.397, "no_party": 19.851, "republican": 43.636, "libertarian": 0.167, "conservative": 0.12 }, "recall_tag": null, "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.23800876102138, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.4382969194015716, "rep": 0.5524730805984285, "oth": 0.00923 }, "recall_source": "Records-consistent with the P0 party target: 2024 Harris two-party share 44.238% of the projected final electorate (remainder method (a), pool of 2024 voters not yet voted, P0 total, 2024-record weighted; code/recall_consistent_targets.py, recall_consistent_targets_20261101.json), the certified other share 0.00923 kept: dem = h x (1 - 0.00923), rep = (1 - h) x (1 - 0.00923); no misreport transform", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.47690216610646163, "senate": { "dem_pct": 45.29506325666924, "rep_pct": 47.30564662757031, "undecided_pct": 1.618162689268116, "d_minus_r_pts": -2.010583370901074, "receipt_margin_pts": -2.010583370901074, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.139997664272647, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -2.1712396950460873, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.60070988423954, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.4210854715202004e-14 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 46.3017701967762, "rep_pct": 46.859414182354605, "undecided_pct": 1.3970517086200256, "d_minus_r_pts": -0.5576439855784088, "receipt_margin_pts": -0.5576439855784088, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.139997664272647, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -0.5985797511000456, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.1611843791308, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 2.842170943040401e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 53.405402358763176, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 54.2141361231898 } }, { "label": "s1-p0-recall42.72-records", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-p0-recall42.72-records.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "c23a58a1dca95f6326ff08033abd1172370131882caf52322437e08ca3bb5bc9", "receipt_path": "s1-p0-recall42.72-records.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "P0", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.033, "other": 1.796, "democrat": 34.397, "no_party": 19.851, "republican": 43.636, "libertarian": 0.167, "conservative": 0.12 }, "recall_tag": "42.72 records", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 42.7203084469655, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.42326, "rep": 0.56751, "oth": 0.00923 }, "recall_source": "Records-based estimate of FL 2024 Harris two-party share 0.4272, with the certified other share 0.00923 kept: dem = 0.4272 x (1 - 0.00923), rep = 0.5728 x (1 - 0.00923), to 5 decimals", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.6732213056865812, "senate": { "dem_pct": 44.38143286649734, "rep_pct": 48.19094299600248, "undecided_pct": 1.6490338915445177, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.809510129505135, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.809510129505135, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.156919399410359, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -4.115169448781866, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.57237586250002, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.0658141036401503e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 45.37377198750498, "rep_pct": 47.74110354876332, "undecided_pct": 1.4230457700869346, "d_minus_r_pts": -2.3673315612583394, "receipt_margin_pts": -2.3673315612583394, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.156919399410359, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -2.5423774102949506, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.11487553626849, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 9.947598300641403e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 52.479327895045564, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 53.284233585593114 } }, { "label": "s1-p0-recall43.39-certified", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-p0-recall43.39-certified.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "44345672b712ccc71b813c8cdac3dbeaf285c653c9caf1edf7cf040c8f29f778", "receipt_path": "s1-p0-recall43.39-certified.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "P0", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.033, "other": 1.796, "democrat": 34.397, "no_party": 19.851, "republican": 43.636, "libertarian": 0.167, "conservative": 0.12 }, "recall_tag": "43.39 certified", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 43.3889305665077, "recall_shares_supplied": null, "recall_source": null, "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.515627605810888, "senate": { "dem_pct": 44.78312765528576, "rep_pct": 47.800533135516076, "undecided_pct": 1.6366437585542282, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.017405480230316, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.017405480230316, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1487123122720773, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -3.2591123038959386, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.58366079080184, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.4210854715202004e-14 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 45.78066968708554, "rep_pct": 47.35421200280836, "undecided_pct": 1.4127196164554368, "d_minus_r_pts": -1.5735423157228183, "receipt_margin_pts": -1.5735423157228183, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1487123122720773, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -1.6895305895831207, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.13488168989393, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 2.1316282072803006e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 52.889211142212, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 53.693839292381654 } }, { "label": "s1-p0-recall44.04-records-misreport", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-p0-recall44.04-records-misreport.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "4c68892d3400e5122e08f7a97faa7db224d844536f9ab00e6a02cac5eee933d7", "receipt_path": "s1-p0-recall44.04-records-misreport.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "P0", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.033, "other": 1.796, "democrat": 34.397, "no_party": 19.851, "republican": 43.636, "libertarian": 0.167, "conservative": 0.12 }, "recall_tag": "44.04 records+misreport", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.04094860223521, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.43623, "rep": 0.55428, "oth": 0.00949 }, "recall_source": "Records-based 2024 vote of this year's projected electorate with a 2024 record (Harris 42.72% two-party; recall_anchor_admin_test_20261101.json) converted to expected recalled shares with Morris (Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026) measured drift: 3.2% Trump->Harris, 1.4% Harris->Trump; renormalized over named candidates", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.48091865202773776, "senate": { "dem_pct": 45.179275973688455, "rep_pct": 47.41415845006798, "undecided_pct": 1.6231238110362076, "d_minus_r_pts": -2.234882476379525, "receipt_margin_pts": -2.234882476379525, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1414964282986104, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -2.4136511301131605, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.59343442375643, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 3.552713678800501e-14 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 46.18265962572313, "rep_pct": 46.968372166935026, "undecided_pct": 1.4012115000936787, "d_minus_r_pts": -0.7857125412118933, "receipt_margin_pts": -0.7857125412118933, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1414964282986104, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -0.843482381344757, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.15103179265817, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 3.552713678800501e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 53.29108225907644, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 54.097752761879114 } }, { "label": "s1-p0-recall44.68-certified-misreport", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-p0-recall44.68-certified-misreport.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "0fd156662cc129a6e7d2bc2984e6534318a983e1b1896badd12e6502544cd2f4", "receipt_path": "s1-p0-recall44.68-certified-misreport.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "P0", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.033, "other": 1.796, "democrat": 34.397, "no_party": 19.851, "republican": 43.636, "libertarian": 0.167, "conservative": 0.12 }, "recall_tag": "44.68 certified+misreport", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.67719953561153, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.44255, "rep": 0.548, "oth": 0.00945 }, "recall_source": "Certified FL 2024 shares adjusted by Morris (Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026) measured recall drift: 3.2% of Trump voters now say Harris, 1.4% of Harris voters say Trump; renormalized over named candidates", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.4635157360470563, "senate": { "dem_pct": 45.563794777075636, "rep_pct": 47.04328420590822, "undecided_pct": 1.6098289784709885, "d_minus_r_pts": -1.4794894288325864, "receipt_margin_pts": -1.4794894288325864, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1354908877723378, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -1.5975986340142796, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.60707898298372, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 9.947598300641403e-14 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 46.57409860898215, "rep_pct": 46.59804467003, "undecided_pct": 1.389737085535987, "d_minus_r_pts": -0.023946061047851686, "receipt_margin_pts": -0.023946061047851686, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1354908877723378, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -0.025700880333077693, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.17214327901203, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 7.815970093361102e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 53.678677743713024, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 54.488118164974985 } }, { "label": "s1-v22-recall42.72-records", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-v22-recall42.72-records.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "419f26b93ee6ab690cde76ad40d3821c55a84a76aa606b2c60d1e5a7114189fb", "receipt_path": "s1-v22-recall42.72-records.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "v22", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.041, "other": 2.247, "democrat": 28.935, "no_party": 18.406, "republican": 50.013, "libertarian": 0.209, "conservative": 0.149 }, "recall_tag": "42.72 records", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 42.7203084469655, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.42326, "rep": 0.56751, "oth": 0.00923 }, "recall_source": "Records-based estimate of FL 2024 Harris two-party share 0.4272, with the certified other share 0.00923 kept: dem = 0.4272 x (1 - 0.00923), rep = 0.5728 x (1 - 0.00923), to 5 decimals", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 0.9137917519792849, "senate": { "dem_pct": 42.8217561008578, "rep_pct": 49.71392874097691, "undecided_pct": 1.5904382871194895, "d_minus_r_pts": -6.892172640119114, "receipt_margin_pts": -6.892172640119114, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.143887477548284, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -7.44812409601715, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.53568484183468, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 4.973799150320701e-14 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 43.812223462433934, "rep_pct": 49.2850000628014, "undecided_pct": 1.3607843462444835, "d_minus_r_pts": -5.472776600367467, "receipt_margin_pts": -5.472776600367467, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.143887477548284, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -5.878560490994691, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.09722352523534, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 2.1316282072803006e-14 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 55.87853489990893, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 56.616082797239166 } }, { "label": "s1-v22-recall43.39-certified", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-v22-recall43.39-certified.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "031362fa3f9f750ccba32f1374d02dddec2909adee9015b33153eac64a6a96b1", "receipt_path": "s1-v22-recall43.39-certified.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "v22", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.041, "other": 2.247, "democrat": 28.935, "no_party": 18.406, "republican": 50.013, "libertarian": 0.209, "conservative": 0.149 }, "recall_tag": "43.39 certified", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 43.3889305665077, "recall_shares_supplied": null, "recall_source": null, "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 1.081132612506846, "senate": { "dem_pct": 43.239044209420044, "rep_pct": 49.30503823677862, "undecided_pct": 1.5797525736321765, "d_minus_r_pts": -6.0659940273585775, "receipt_margin_pts": -6.0659940273585775, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.140957130872907, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -6.554707623672312, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.5440824461984, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.4921397450962104e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 44.23829843624284, "rep_pct": 48.87923512976366, "undecided_pct": 1.3493899208783782, "d_minus_r_pts": -4.640936693520814, "receipt_margin_pts": -4.640936693520814, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.140957130872907, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -4.983955776954814, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.11753356600627, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.2789769243681803e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 56.29107729614563, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 57.03085429995336 } }, { "label": "s1-v22-recall44.04-records-misreport", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-v22-recall44.04-records-misreport.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "544bd001a982a7b506ffc218b727d891fd3c1c2a79cc0d7ae06d6fb8b40daa67", "receipt_path": "s1-v22-recall44.04-records-misreport.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "v22", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.041, "other": 2.247, "democrat": 28.935, "no_party": 18.406, "republican": 50.013, "libertarian": 0.209, "conservative": 0.149 }, "recall_tag": "44.04 records+misreport", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.04094860223521, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.43623, "rep": 0.55428, "oth": 0.00949 }, "recall_source": "Records-based 2024 vote of this year's projected electorate with a 2024 record (Harris 42.72% two-party; recall_anchor_admin_test_20261101.json) converted to expected recalled shares with Morris (Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026) measured drift: 3.2% Trump->Harris, 1.4% Harris->Trump; renormalized over named candidates", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 1.1056668411045352, "senate": { "dem_pct": 43.65019069841323, "rep_pct": 48.90105565046463, "undecided_pct": 1.5689056812249975, "d_minus_r_pts": -5.250864952051394, "receipt_margin_pts": -5.250864952051394, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.138547105788965, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -5.67346757520461, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.5512463488782, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.9184653865522705e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 44.65739359946641, "rep_pct": 48.47677472020055, "undecided_pct": 1.3375481925037656, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.8193811207341426, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.8193811207341426, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.138547105788965, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -4.100945109237173, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.13416831966731, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.7763568394002505e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 56.69479710410187, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 57.437569678278585 } }, { "label": "s1-v22-recall44.68-certified-misreport", "scope": "262e3a3a-2efc-433a-a166-cf25a65a3605", "data_as_of": "2026-11-01T03:54:31.904100+00:00", "dir": "sensitivity_grid", "weights_path": "s1-v22-recall44.68-certified-misreport.weights.json", "weights_sha256": "759f500850b8a658428f7cd3116b5a157ebaa6d8896c7af12668023fdb1316d1", "receipt_path": "s1-v22-recall44.68-certified-misreport.receipt.json", "receipt_sha_matches_weights_file": true, "party_tag": "v22", "party_target_pct": { "green": 0.041, "other": 2.247, "democrat": 28.935, "no_party": 18.406, "republican": 50.013, "libertarian": 0.209, "conservative": 0.149 }, "recall_tag": "44.68 certified+misreport", "recall_harris_two_party_pct": 44.67719953561153, "recall_shares_supplied": { "dem": 0.44255, "rep": 0.548, "oth": 0.00945 }, "recall_source": "Certified FL 2024 shares adjusted by Morris (Strength In Numbers/Verasight, Oct 22 2026) measured recall drift: 3.2% of Trump voters now say Harris, 1.4% of Harris voters say Trump; renormalized over named candidates", "error": null, "respondents": 2898, "differences_from_read": null, "max_abs_weight_diff_vs_stored_read": 1.1146404328416761, "senate": { "dem_pct": 44.04954050212855, "rep_pct": 48.510474225665575, "undecided_pct": 1.5584973593746383, "d_minus_r_pts": -4.460933723537025, "receipt_margin_pts": -4.460933723537025, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1371250280488696, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -4.819504120279076, "decided_n": 2658, "decided_weight_share_pct": 92.5600147277939, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.6342482922482304e-13 }, "governor": { "dem_pct": 45.065423765619826, "rep_pct": 48.08897133861165, "undecided_pct": 1.3261402571344736, "d_minus_r_pts": -3.0235475729918235, "receipt_margin_pts": -3.0235475729918235, "answering_n": 2898, "moe_pts": 2.1371250280488696, "decided_d_minus_r_pts": -3.245737970397065, "decided_n": 2675, "decided_weight_share_pct": 93.15439510423123, "check_max_abs_diff_vs_receipt_shares_pts": 1.6342482922482304e-13 }, "pre_election_day": { "senate_dem_two_party_pct": 57.08484522508386, "governor_dem_two_party_pct": 57.83041070047525 } } ], "published_copy_note": "Published copy: the Oct 20-23 rework rows (4 of 24) are removed; the Oct 20-23 poll stands as published." }