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   }
  },
  "note": "model_results 2022 FRI is mail+early combined (no mail split), so 2022 mail at the same point is NULL; mail22_pre_ed_count is 2022 mail returned before Election Day (end of early voting), by 2022 party."
 },
 "reserve": {
  "thru_1029_vs_FRI": {
   "R": {
    "v22_on_file": 3436946,
    "banked_eip": 870091,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 2566855,
    "mail26": 622664,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 1944191,
    "after_fri_2022": 1846272,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.39,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 1.053,
    "after_mon_2022": 1417223,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.372,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 0.97,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 1.085,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 76406,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 2.98,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 1.106
   },
   "D": {
    "v22_on_file": 2309540,
    "banked_eip": 609267,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 1700273,
    "mail26": 762012,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 938261,
    "after_fri_2022": 1166848,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.457,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 0.804,
    "after_mon_2022": 797950,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.176,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 0.886,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 0.908,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 71786,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 4.22,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 0.845
   },
   "NPA": {
    "v22_on_file": 1384925,
    "banked_eip": 291331,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 1093594,
    "mail26": 341393,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 752201,
    "after_fri_2022": 830290,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.317,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 0.906,
    "after_mon_2022": 612620,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.228,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 0.907,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 0.999,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 42833,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 3.92,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 0.952
   },
   "minor": {
    "v22_on_file": 164017,
    "banked_eip": 35257,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 128760,
    "mail26": 43181,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 85579,
    "after_fri_2022": 66244,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.944,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 1.292,
    "after_mon_2022": 50191,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.705,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 1.366,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 0.946,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 4787,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 3.72,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 1.357
   },
   "all": {
    "v22_on_file": 7295428,
    "banked_eip": 1805946,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 5489482,
    "mail26": 1769250,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 3720232,
    "after_fri_2022": 3909654,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.404,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 0.952,
    "after_mon_2022": 2877984,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.293,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 0.936,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 1.017,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 195812,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 3.57,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 1.0
   }
  },
  "thru_1030": {
   "R": {
    "v22_on_file": 3436946,
    "banked_eip": 991189,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 2445757,
    "mail26": 649060,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 1796697,
    "after_fri_2022": 1846272,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.325,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 0.973,
    "after_mon_2022": 1417223,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.268,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 0.97,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 1.003,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 75904,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 3.1,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 1.117
   },
   "D": {
    "v22_on_file": 2309540,
    "banked_eip": 678404,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 1631136,
    "mail26": 792528,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 838608,
    "after_fri_2022": 1166848,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.398,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 0.719,
    "after_mon_2022": 797950,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.051,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 0.886,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 0.812,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 71120,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 4.36,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 0.825
   },
   "NPA": {
    "v22_on_file": 1384925,
    "banked_eip": 334817,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 1050108,
    "mail26": 358744,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 691364,
    "after_fri_2022": 830290,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.265,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 0.833,
    "after_mon_2022": 612620,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.129,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 0.907,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 0.918,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 42542,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 4.05,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 0.956
   },
   "minor": {
    "v22_on_file": 164017,
    "banked_eip": 40168,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 123849,
    "mail26": 45252,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 78597,
    "after_fri_2022": 66244,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.87,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 1.186,
    "after_mon_2022": 50191,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.566,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 1.366,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 0.868,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 4759,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 3.84,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 1.362
   },
   "all": {
    "v22_on_file": 7295428,
    "banked_eip": 2044578,
    "reserve_unadjusted": 5250850,
    "mail26": 1845584,
    "reserve_mail_adjusted_approx": 3405266,
    "after_fri_2022": 3909654,
    "ratio_unadj_over_after_fri": 1.343,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_fri": 0.871,
    "after_mon_2022": 2877984,
    "ratio_mail_adj_over_after_mon": 1.183,
    "coverage_v22_file_over_final22": 0.936,
    "ratio_mail_adj_coverage_adjusted": 0.931,
    "reserve_inactive_status": 194325,
    "pct_reserve_unadj_inactive": 3.7,
    "ratio_mail_adj_relative_to_all": 1.0
   }
  }
 },
 "sensitivity": {
  "reserve_share_resplit_unadjusted_shares": {
   "R": 43.41,
   "D": 34.94,
   "NPA": 19.22,
   "minor": 2.43
  },
  "reserve_share_resplit_active_mail_adj_shares": {
   "R": 46.39,
   "D": 31.88,
   "NPA": 19.32,
   "minor": 2.4
  },
  "P0_check_shares": {
   "R": 43.64,
   "D": 34.4,
   "NPA": 19.85,
   "minor": 2.12
  },
  "reserve_share_resplit_shares": {
   "R": 46.04,
   "D": 32.19,
   "NPA": 19.37,
   "minor": 2.41
  },
  "note": "Illustrative direction check only: the remaining vote total is 2022's after-Friday total, split by each party's share of its 2026 Friday-aligned mail-adjusted reserve; assumes equal conversion across parties."
 },
 "baseline_2018_to_2022": {
  "R": {
   "ed18": 1129896,
   "pct_ed18_voted_early22_full_period": 19.58,
   "pct_ed18_voted_mail22": 7.27,
   "early22": 1165470,
   "pct_early22_from_ed18": 18.98,
   "pct_early22_from_2018_nonvoters": 27.23
  },
  "D": {
   "ed18": 821976,
   "pct_ed18_voted_early22_full_period": 12.16,
   "pct_ed18_voted_mail22": 14.59,
   "early22": 619253,
   "pct_early22_from_ed18": 16.14,
   "pct_early22_from_2018_nonvoters": 20.19
  },
  "NPA": {
   "ed18": 559724,
   "pct_ed18_voted_early22_full_period": 12.34,
   "pct_ed18_voted_mail22": 9.67,
   "early22": 379112,
   "pct_early22_from_ed18": 18.22,
   "pct_early22_from_2018_nonvoters": 34.84
  },
  "minor": {
   "ed18": 64086,
   "pct_ed18_voted_early22_full_period": 12.16,
   "pct_ed18_voted_mail22": 9.71,
   "early22": 44110,
   "pct_early22_from_ed18": 17.67,
   "pct_early22_from_2018_nonvoters": 37.39
  },
  "all": {
   "ed18": 2575682,
   "pct_ed18_voted_early22_full_period": 15.45,
   "pct_ed18_voted_mail22": 10.19,
   "early22": 2207945,
   "pct_early22_from_ed18": 18.03,
   "pct_early22_from_2018_nonvoters": 26.77
  }
 },
 "projections_given": {
  "P0": {
   "R": 43.6,
   "D": 34.4
  },
  "B1": {
   "R": 47.6,
   "D": 31.2
  },
  "MID": {
   "R": 45.6,
   "D": 32.8
  }
 },
 "raw_rows": [
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   "m18": "EARLY",
   "voted24": false,
   "inactive": false,
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   "eip26_all": 2786,
   "eip26_thru_1029": 2354,
   "multi22": 0
  },
  {
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   "n": 52416,
   "eip26_all": 1910,
   "eip26_thru_1029": 1546,
   "multi22": 0
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   "eip26_thru_1029": 38920,
   "multi22": 0
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  {
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  },
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  {
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   "eip26_thru_1029": 2,
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  {
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